Editor's Choice: Fantasy baseball busts

by KFFL Staff on February 26, 2010 @ 00:00:00 PDT

 


KFFL's managing editors choose their favorite fantasy baseball busts for 2010.

Tim Heaney

Player
POS
TM
The what for
Mark Reynolds
1B/3B
ARI
24 steals? Can't buy that again. Raw power Adam Dunn-esque, but Reynolds' BA doesn't justify 2nd-round price.
Justin Upton
OF
ARI
Hear me out. Ridiculous ceiling. But .360 BABIP? Power growth will jeopardize BA, or vice versa. He'd by my third pick, not my second.
Wandy Rodriguez
SP
HOU
Risk areas: LOB% and BABIP. Increasing GB predicts some growth - but how much at age 31? Weigh a comedown against surrounding SPs.
Carlos Gonzalez
OF
COL
Athlete becoming a baseball player. Skills developing, but HR/FB looks fluky, and BB/K still poor. Not enough track record for my taste.
Ryan Franklin
RP
STL
Cutter helped him, but so did LOB. Can he match '09 at 37 with no heat to fastball? Jason Motte waits in the wings. Avoid the vet.

 

Cory J. Bonini

Player
POS
TM
The what for
Ben Zobrist
2B/OF
TB
Almost no track record; improved BA in 2009 - a fluke? GB% dropped but so did FB%; exp BA and SB to drop.
Shin-Soo Choo
OF
CLE
Offense around him uninspiring at best; no upside, expect SB to come down; contact rate is average; limited track record.
Aaron Hill
2B
TOR
Unprecedented HR spike in '09 screams letdown, as does radical jump in HR/FB - let someone else overdraft the suspect power.
Michael Bourn
OF
HOU
Lives off of SB value, which could come down. Still developing, minor injury concerns; repeating a .366 BABIP is highly unlikley.
Ichiro Suzuki
OF
SEA
Batting eye fell off; LD rate has fallen past four years, too. His slow decline could become a prominent one this year.

 

Bryce McRae

Player
POS
TM
The what for
Johan Santana
SP
NYM
Offseason elbow surgery coupled with already declining skills (two straight years) make this the last year Santana approaches No. 1 SP ADP.
David Aardsma
RP
SEA
Everything finally came together for former first-rounder last year; tired as season wore on, and M's now have Brandon League to back up.
Raul Ibanez
OF
PHI
Tailed off considerably after his stellar first two months; he'll turn 38 this year and power should dry up soon - not much else helps.
Javier Vazquez
SP
NYY
He'll do better than his previous stint with NYY … but still makes too many mistakes (esp. for Yankee Stadium), and control should return to norm.
Jason Kubel
OF
MIN
Not a huge believer: Strikes out too much, was helped by inflated BABIP last year, contact rate declining, and HR/FB was career high in '09.

 

Nicholas Minnix

Player
POS
TM
The what for
Justin Upton
OF
ARI
Do you realize what B.J.'s younger bro has to do to justify a 2nd-round pick or $30 price tag? No 22YO is a lock in redrafters.
Aaron Hill
2B
TOR
He'll be good, but not good enough for mixed pick in first five rounds. No oppo power, nothing special, just some luck in 2009.
Johan Santana
SP
NYM
Another elbow cleanup plus his continued negative trends? No thanks. He can be your ace. I have two dozen better in the hole.
Josh M. Johnson
SP
FLA
Many a media member marvels at Marlins' modern metro-nextual. Big IP jump, control issues in every year before last ... too risky.
Billy Butler
1B
KC
Exiting 2009, I thought, Nice sleeper CI. Instead, he's drafted as near stud. Too hyped to live up to that. Still on the Royals, right?

 

Editor's Choice: Fantasy baseball sleepers
Editor's Choice: Fantasy baseball busts
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Editor's Choice: Fantasy baseball rip-offs
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Catch more prime selections in Editor's Choice every Friday!

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