NASCAR Nationwide Series: Charlotte Picks and Points

by Adam Ansell, RotoExperts.com on October 15, 2010 @ 13:00:00 PDT

 


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ADAM ANSELL'S NATIONWIDE TOP 25 FOR CHARLOTTE

1. Kyle Busch: Busch is in the midst of the greatest Fantasy NASCAR season of all-time. With a record 12 wins and counting, Busch has gotten it done in all facets of the game. On the season, he has an Average Finish of 4.8 and an Average Start 4.0, never worse than 11th on the grid. In 14 starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway, Busch has six wins, 10 Top Fives and 11 Top 10s. Four of his six wins at the site have come in the last five events. He's led at least 64 laps in his last five starts at Charlotte. He's led at least one lap in 12 of his 14 starts at the site. Since the inception of Loop Data in 2005, Busch ranks second in Driver Rating (120.0) and fourth in Average Running Position (7.7). He leads all competitors with 599 Laps Led. As always, Busch is the elite start of the week and a great bet to win his 13th race of 2010.

2. Carl Edwards: In 11 starts at the site, Edwards has one win (May 2006), four Top Fives, six Top 10s and four poles. He's running a streak of four straight Top 10s at the site. He ranks seventh in DR (101.2) and sixth in ARP (10.8). He's led at least one lap in three of his past four starts at the site. Edwards has won the pole three straight times at Charlotte. Needless to say, the likelihood of bonus points through laps led and qualifying is a solid proposition for Edwards' owners. In the May event at CMS, he finished ninth with 15 laps led. He's as consistent as it gets, and is extra motivated now that Busch is hunting him down in the standings.

3. Ryan Newman: In four starts at the site, Newman has one win (October 2005), three Top Fives and four Top 10s. He's never finished lower than seventh at CMS. In his 2005 victory, Newman started second on the grid, led 133 laps, posted a 149.2 DR (150.0 is perfect), and a 2.1 ARP. He finished fifth in the May event at the site. Newman leads all competitors in DR (120.4) and ARP (5.4). With three Top 10s in his last four Series starts, Newman's mid-season slump is now fully behind him. He's an elite Elimination format start.

4. Brad Keselowski: Keselowski has finished in second place three out of the last four Series races. He's led at least one lap in seven of his last eight Series starts. In eight starts at CMS, Keselowski has two Top Fives and five Top 10s. He has an Average Finish of 5.4 over his last five starts at the site. He led 65 laps in his second-place finish in the May event. He ranks 17th in DR (84.0) and 21st in ARP (17.3). The soon-to-be 2010 Nationwide Series champion (384 points up on second) is a lock for a Top Five finish.

5. Joey Logano: Logano has three consecutive Top Fives in his last three Series starts, with two poles in that span. In four starts at the site, Logano has two Top Fives with an Average Finish of ninth. His best starting position at CMS is fourth. He posted his best career finish (third) at the site in the May event. He's led at least four laps in his last two starts at the site, and in three of his last four. He ranks fourth in DR (106.3) and in ARP (7.7). Logano is an elite start every week.

6. Kevin Harvick: In 18 starts at the site, Harvick has two Top Fives, 10 Top 10s and three poles. The three poles came within four starts from May 2001 to October 2003, which was prior to the site being repaved in 2006. He hasn't led a lap in his last seven starts at the site, with an Average Finish of 12th in that span. Harvick ranks 11th in DR (92.6) and 14th in ARP (14.3). Based on historical data, Harvick has the least upside of the elite drivers. But with one win, seven Top Fives, eight Top 10s and an Average Finish of fourth in his last eight Series starts, it's hard for Fantasy owners to doubt him.

7. Clint Bowyer: He has four Top 10s in his last five Series starts with an Average Finish of ninth in that span. In 10 starts at the site, Bowyer has two Top Fives and seven Top 10s. He ranks 13th in DR (86.6) and 16th in ARP (14.9). He has six consecutive Top 10s at CMS since October 2006. He's more of a conservative Elimination format start due to the fact he's never started higher than fifth on the grid, and has led laps just once at the site.

8. Mike Bliss: In 11 starts at CMS, Bliss has two wins (October 2004, May 2009) and five Top Fives. He followed up his May 2009 victory with a second-place finish in October. In both 2009 Charlotte events, Bliss posted an Average Finish of 1.5 with a 111.6 and 8.3 ARP. Overall, he ranks 19th in DR (82.8) and 20th in ARP (16.4). Bliss finished inside the Top 10 for the first time in 16 Series events last week at Fontana. He'll stretch that streak to two at Charlotte.

9. Martin Truex Jr.: In two Series starts this season, Truex has one Top Five with a 101.3 DR and 7.3 ARP. He's led at least one lap in both appearances. Truex will make his first Series start at CMS since May 2006. In six starts at the site, he has one Top Five and three Top 10s. He ranks 10th in DR (95.9) and seventh in ARP (11.4). He's a great bet for bonus points via qualifying and laps led, and should be started in all formats.

10. David Reutimann: Nothing about Reutimann would indicate he's worth a start in any format. In six Series starts at the site, he has zero Top 10s and zero laps led. He ranks 35th in DR (68.2) and 32nd in ARP (21.4). Why the Top 10 ranking? He's been steadily improving over the years on cookie-cutter tracks, and has reached elite status despite the numbers. When a driver does well on one, it's safe to assume he'll do well on the others. He finished eighth at Texas Motor Speedway back in April. He also has one win (May 2009) and two Top Fives in his last three Sprint Cup Series starts at CMS. He'll fly under the Fantasy radar this week, making him a sneaky play in all formats.

11. Justin Allgaier: Finished fourth in the May 2010 event at CMS. 83.3 DR.

12. Brendan Gaughan: Finished second with four laps led in the May 2009 at CMS. 69.2 DR.

13. Aric Almirola: Finished fourth in the October 2007 event at CMS. 75.7 DR.

14. Paul Menard: Has one Top Five in seven starts at CMS. 84.2 DR.

15. Jason Leffler: Has two Top 10s in his last three starts at CMS. 74.6 DR.

16. Reed Sorenson: 72.8 DR.

17. Trevor Bayne: 81.8.

18. Brian Scott: 51.2.

19. Michael Annett: 72.4.

20. Kelly Bires: 85.8.

21. James Buescher

22. Ricky Stenhouse Jr.

23. Jeremy Clements

24. Colin Braun

25. Danica Patrick

Wanna talk some track? E-mail Adam at ansell@rotoexperts.com. The RotoRacing Show is back! Get up to speed on everything fantasy NASCAR, Tuesday nights at 9PM!

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About Adam Ansell, RotoExperts.com

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RotoExperts.com is a deluxe fantasy analysis and information site and content development network. Led by award-winning Fantasy veteran Scott Engel, formerly of ESPN and CBS SportsLine, the RotoExperts.com team provides distinctive and in-depth fantasy insights in all sports. RotoExperts.com is an official content provider for NFL.com, Yahoo Sports, Sports Illustrated and USA Today. RotoExperts.com was nominated for a total of eight industry awards in 2009, and won the Fantasy Sports Writers Association Award for Best Humor Article. RotoExperts.com urges you to look for the X- The Mark of Fantasy Excellence.

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