Fantasy football analysis draft: Round 1

by KFFL Staff on July 31, 2013 @ 11:28:59 PDT

 

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KFFL.com's Fantasy Football Analysis Draft (FAD) brings you behind the scenes for all 16 rounds of an actual fantasy football league draft. Each of our experts participating give you their analysis on why they made each selection. This is not a mock fantasy football draft; this league will be played out during the course of the 2013 fantasy football season ... each participant is drafting to win!

A standard scoring system with one point per reception (RB-WR-TE) was used for this draft.

1) Adrian Peterson, RB, Minnesota Vikings
Team: Keith Hernandez | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: How can I not select AD with the top overall pick after he topped 2,000 rushing yards coming off a serious knee injury? The guy is a stud and clearly is still the best player in the league. Even though the rest of Minnesota's squad is shaky, the offense runs through Peterson, and there's a good chance he'll come close to another 2,000-yard season with double-digit scores.

2) Jamaal Charles, RB, Kansas City Chiefs
Team: Cory J. Bonini | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: I really wanted to go with Trent Richardson here, but I couldn't bring myself to pulling the trigger. Charles will be a PPR stud in Andy Reid's pass-friendly system. I'm expecting at least 60 receptions and 2,000 total yards of offense. Doug Martin and Arian Foster scare the tar out of me this year. Charles is the safest high-upside player on my board.

3) Arian Foster, RB, Houston Texans
Team: Ryan R. Bonini | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: Like many, I have some concerns around the heavy workload Foster has had during his short NFL career. However, the Houston offense is built around him and I believe his wheels have at least one more 1,300-plus-yard, double-digit touchdown season easily within reach. Throw in another 40-plus receptions and 300 receiving yards, and I expect Foster to once again be in the upper echelon of fantasy backs in '13.

>Doug Martin, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

4) Doug Martin, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Team: Jared Byrd | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: I would have selected Martin even if Charles and Foster were still available because both players represent huge injury risks. In addition, new Chiefs head coach Andy Reid has a knack for not utilizing his running backs to their fullest potential and I can envision Ben Tate getting increased playing time for the Texans. On the other hand, the Buccaneers have no other viable options at running back besides Martin. I expect 1,200 rushing yards, 50 receptions, 500 receiving yards and 10 combined touchdowns from Martin in 2013.

5) Trent Richardson, RB, Cleveland Browns
Team: Nicholas Minnix | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: Calvin Johnson is the safer pick, but T-Rich's ceiling has to include something in the neighborhood of 1,800-plus total yards. He played in 15 games last season but essentially missed a couple of others. Richardson is supposed to be completely healthy, and he's the focal point of a potentially burgeoning O that'll utilize him a ton both on the ground and through the air.

6) Ray Rice, RB, Baltimore Ravens
Team: Brian Polking | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: In what some considered a disappointing 2012 season, Rice still managed more than 1,600 yards from scrimmage to go along with 10 scores and 61 catches. Even with Bernard Pierce stealing some touches, I don't expect anything less from Rice in 2013. He is still Baltimore's most versatile offensive weapon, and the loss of Anquan Boldin in free agency and the injury to Dennis Pitta should mean extra action in the passing game for one of the best all-around backs in the game.

 

 

7) Marshawn Lynch, RB, Seattle Seahawks
Team: Jack Douglas | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: Over the last two years, Lynch is second in the NFL in rushing yards, third in rushing touchdowns and has averaged 11.5 rushing touchdowns. With the loss of Percy Harvin for several months, Lynch should continue to be the focal point of the Seattle offense. His pending DUI case won't have another hearing until at least December and he is unlikely to be suspended this season. I look for about 1,300-1,400 rushing yards, 10 rushing touchdowns and about 25 receptions for 250 yards.

Calvin Johnson, WR, Detroit Lions

8) LeSean McCoy, RB, Philadelphia Eagles
Team: Eric McClung | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: This will prove to be a one-year discount on LeSean McCoy due to last year's concussion, the sagging performance prior to that and the specter of Bryce Brown. Chip Kelly is going to run McCoy a lot behind what could provide to be an extremely dangerous offensive line, if healthy. Rookie Lane Johnson puts a dynamic tackle on the other side of the returning Jason Peters. Evan Mathis remained an excellent run blocker even after fellow guard Todd Herremans was shut down after eight games. Brown will get touches but all of his highlights have come during two games in which he lost three fumbles. McCoy, just 25 years old, is more than capable of a career-high 1,700 yards from scrimmage and double-digit touchdowns.

9) C.J. Spiller, RB, Buffalo Bills
Team: Dan Dobish | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: There are reports saying Spiller could get the ball upwards of 30 times per game. New head coach Doug Marrone likes to run the ball, and the QB situation is iffy. Love Spiller here.

10) Calvin Johnson, WR, Detroit Lions
Team: Tim Heaney | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: Nine straight RBs ... yup, I'll take the money in the bank with Megatron at 10 and see what falls at RB on the way back. Johnson endured bad luck when it came to the TD column last year. He and Matthew Stafford will remedy that. I'm not expecting anything close to last year, but even if Calvin reverts back to his 2010 numbers of 77-1,120-12, this pick will pay off. (Though he should hover around 100 grabs again.)

11) Alfred Morris, RB, Washington Redskins
Team: Tim Piotrowski | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: Morris is coming off an amazing rookie season and there is nothing that indicates he can't have another successful season in 2013. Even though he does not help out as a receiver, his rushing yards should be able to soften the blow. I would like to see 1,400 to 1,500 yards with double-digit touchdowns.

12) A.J. Green, WR, Cincinnati Bengals
Team: Ryan Dodson | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: Green can do it all. If Megatron wasn't the freak of nature he is, coming off a record-breaking season, Green could be in the conversation as the first receiver taken. He'll be 25 this season, in his third year in the league, and is coming off a 97-1,350-11 season. I'm betting he'll eclipse 100 catches with another 1,300 yards and 10 touchdowns as bare minimums.

How do you feel about each selection? Would you have made the same move? We want to hear your thoughts in the comments area below.

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Round: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 ... Rosters

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