Fantasy football draft results: RB minefield

      July 30, 2013 @ 18:00:00 PDT


The selection of a running back after the first round in a fantasy football draft has a feel similar to that of the use of a choice on a closer after, say, the first 10 rounds of a mixed-league draft in fantasy baseball. The likelihood that this ball carrier or that one is going to yield a point total commensurate with his draft position has to be pretty remote.

POS
Player
TM
Pick
OVR
QB
Cam Newton
CAR
6.09
69
RB
Trent Richardson
CLE
1.04
4
RB
Chris Johnson
TEN
3.04
28
WR
Marques Colston
NO
4.09
45
WR
Steve Smith
CAR
5.04
52
WR
Stevie Johnson
BUF
7.04
76
TE
Jimmy Graham
NO
2.09
21
PK
Matt Bryant
ATL
15.04
172
D/ST
New England Patriots
NE
14.09
165
WR
Miles Austin
DAL
8.09
93
WR
Vincent Brown
SD
9.04
100
QB
Andy Dalton
CIN
10.09
117
RB
Pierre Thomas
NO
11.04
124
RB
Jonathan Stewart
CAR
12.09
141
RB
Robert Turbin
SEA
13.04
148
RB
Brandon Bolden
NE
16.09
189

The latest mock draft in which I participated, put on by Fighting Chance Fantasy and featuring some of the top analysts around, reminded me of just that.

Do you feel more comfortable drafting Darren McFadden or Drew Brees? Why isn't the risk associated with the position reflected in the draft stocks of RBs? I have a lot more faith in most players at any other position, but I often feel compelled to take a couple of running backs in the first third of a draft because of the fear that I'll miss out.

Which, I suppose, may or may not justify the actual cost of running back. It all depends on which running backs are available when it's my turn to choose. And how rational I think that fear is.

By the way, it's not obvious, but I'm pretty happy with my top two backs, especially CJ(formerly)2K: I'm relatively confident that the Tennessee Titans' featured back won't miss much time, if any; and T-Rich is still much too young to be a complete dud. (I believe. I also believe I hope that I'm in position to pick running backs like them more often than not.)

Other things I believe that I believe:

  • The uncertainty about Rob Gronkowski's health makes it easy to justify the utilization of a top pick on Graham, who's head and shoulders above the rest of the tight end class.
  • If real drafts go like this, quality depth at wide receiver is going to be kind of easy to accumulate.

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About Nicholas Minnix

Minnix is baseball editor and a fantasy football analyst at KFFL. He plays in LABR and Tout Wars and won the FSWA Baseball Industry Insiders League in 2010.

The University of Delaware alum is a regular guest on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio and Baltimore's WNST AM 1570.

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