Fantasy football analysis draft: Round 5

by KFFL Staff on August 5, 2013 @ 13:45:05 PDT

 

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KFFL.com's Fantasy Football Analysis Draft (FAD) brings you behind the scenes for all 16 rounds of an actual fantasy football league draft. Each of our experts participating give you their analysis on why they made each selection. This is not a mock fantasy football draft; this league will be played out during the course of the 2013 fantasy football season ... each participant is drafting to win!

A standard scoring system with one point per reception (RB-WR-TE) was used for this draft.

1) Matt Ryan, QB, Atlanta Falcons
Team: Keith Hernandez | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: I wanted to hold off in selecting my first QB, but the guys I'm comfortable running with as my starter have dwindled quickly. Ryan took a huge leap forward in a breakout year in 2013, and I think he's here to stay. The offense around him is perhaps one of the most explosive in the league, and Steven Jackson adds a new dynamic. I'm hoping for a base of 4,500 yards and 28 touchdowns. Oh, and a lot of connections with Julio Jones.

2) Danny Amendola, WR, New England Patriots
Team: Cory J. Bonini | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: I really wanted to go in another direction here, so I'll keep my virtual mouth shut in the off-chance that player makes it back to me. I understand the risk of injury with Amendola, but I frankly don't care. Look at the rest of my squad ... boom or bust seems to be the M.O., so why not continue with a PPR powerhouse, should he remain healthy. In 16 games, Amendola will snare 90 receptions for 1,110 yards and score six times, at a minimum.

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3) Rob Gronkowski, TE, New England Patriots
Team: Ryan R. Bonini | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: I never planned to land a tight end this early and this selection scares me; however, I cannot ignore the value. Gronk has a ton of injury risk, but even if he plays 75 percent of the season he should still be among the top tight ends in scoring. If he can heal quickly and be on the field all season, he could approach his '11 stat line of 90-1,327-17.

4) Rashard Mendenhall, RB, Arizona Cardinals
Team: Jared Byrd | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: Unlike the other running backs remaining on the draft board, Mendenhall enters the season as the unquestioned No. 1 back for his team. He won't catch many passes but he should eclipse 1,000 rushing yards and score 8-10 touchdowns, provided that he stays healthy.

5) Eric Decker, WR, Denver Broncos
Team: Nicholas Minnix | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: I don't see a running back worth what I think would be a reach, here, other than perhaps Ahmad Bradshaw. I'm confident, however, that Decker will get his numbers -- even if they're at a reduced rate because of the addition of Wes Welker -- whereas I can't be so sure about the fragile back. I have my eye on a series of others, so we'll see what unfolds after this. Decker should amass 75-plus catches, 1,000 yards and eight or nine TDs, with the upside for more, assuming that Jessie James (whoever that is ... bank robber?) doesn't ruin him.

6) Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers
Team: Brian Polking | Team Roster | League Scoring

Fantasy football analysis: Although Brown saw his receiving output drop from more than 1,100 yards in 2011 to a shade under 800 last year, he only caught three fewer passes. I firmly believe the difference in his numbers was a high ankle sprain that robbed him of his explosiveness after the catch and caused him to average more than four yards less per reception. With Brown back up to speed and Mike Wallace now in Miami, I think a career year could be on tap.

And the back half....

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Round: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 ... Rosters

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