Fantasy Football On Target: Should you trust Brandon Jacobs?

by Tim Heaney on October 15, 2013 @ 11:08:38 PDT

 

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Targets and touches can influence a fantasy football player's value, but utilization totals fluctuate week to week, depending on game and roster circumstances. In Fantasy Football On Target, we dissect those conditions to determine whether target trends are patterns or flukes.

KFFL Target Data

Targets and touches can influence a fantasy football player's value, but utilization totals fluctuate week to week, depending on game and roster circumstances. In Fantasy Football On Target, we dissect conditions to determine whether target trends are patterns or flukes.

For a complete listing of targets and touches, check out our Statistics Analyzer and Utilizations pages.

Find more fantasy football risers in our Fantasy Football Waiver Wire.

Running backs

Week 6 utilizations
Rk
Player
Tm
Wk 6
1
Jamaal Charles
KC
31
2
LeSean McCoy
PHI
27
3
Arian Foster
HOU
27
4
Marshawn Lynch
SEA
26
5
Knowshon Moreno
DEN
25
6
Frank Gore
SF
25
7
Matt Forte
CHI
25
8
Brandon Jacobs
NYG
24
9
Eddie Lacy
GB
24
10
Ryan Mathews
SD
23
11
Maurice Jones-Drew
JAX
23
12
Reggie Bush
DET
23

As long as Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos are rolling, why would they go away from Knowshon Moreno as the lead back? He's gotten a bit more work the last few weeks because they've been in tight(ish) games. Ronnie Hillman and Montee Ball have only shown complementary competence.

WAIVER WIRE: Big back Brandon Jacobs and the New York Giants took advantage of a depleted Chicago Bears front. Though he's nursing a bum hammy, he's expected to play in Week 7; David Wilson (neck) and Da'Rel Scott (hamstring) are not and might miss more time. Rookie Michael Cox will be mixed in, but Jacobs will lead the charge. He sports flex worth with a tempered outlook, not last week's output consistently repeated. In fact, exuberant FAAB spending is likely to backfire.

With the rash of injuries to the Green Bay Packers' passing game, Eddie Lacy should hold on to something around his 24-utilization workload. Good news, as he's averaged 4.8 behind a surprisingly effective offensive line in two weeks since their bye. Johnathan Franklin may sprinkle in a few more passing-down reps, but the more significant developments are noted on the next pages.

The San Diego Chargers made a point to keep Andrew Luck off the field Monday night, so they went with a heavy dose of Ryan Mathews. The Mathews-Danny Woodhead split will depend on game flow, as displayed by Mathews' three Week 5 utilizations because the Bolts had to put a jolt in their pass game.

  • Stevan Ridley's knee looked OK in Week 6 as he averaged 4.8 yards per tote for his second straight game and found the end zone twice during a 21-utilization day. The New England Patriots have shown they'll change the running script, but with Shane Vereen (wrist) out a few more weeks, expect them to get back to basics with Ridley manning the backfield and a Brandon Bolden-LeGarrette Blount split behind him.
  • WAIVER WIRE: Zac Stacy has averaged 4.9 yards per run. No other St. Louis Rams carrier has come close. It's him, Daryl Richardson and everyone else right now. What are you waiting for?
  • The Minnesota Vikings had to pass frequently to catch up to the Carolina Panthers, which hindered the potential contribution of a grieving Adrian Peterson.
  • WAIVER WIRE: Andre Ellington has 42 utilizations over the last four weeks and has netted 7.0 yards per run this season. Unlike Rashard Mendenhall, he can make things happen after the catch. The Arizona Cardinals have started to realize this, and Bruce Arians continues to praise Ellington as a capable RB1. Ellington could be the sneaky man's Ben Tate.
  • WAIVER WIRE: DeMarco Murray (knee sprain) will miss at least the next Dallas Cowboys affair. Joseph Randle had a limited chance to work Sunday, but he powered his way (with some O-line help) into the end zone and is the best option to take over. He'd lose some touches to Lance Dunbar (hamstring)
  • WAIVER WIRE: Bilal Powell (shoulder) missed a bit of Sunday action, but after tearing the anterior cruciate ligament and medial collateral ligament in his knee, Mike Goodson will miss the rest of the season. Bump Chris Ivory up your list of pickup preferences, more so if Powell has to take a breather.
  • Mike Tolbert was called upon to help run out the clock on the Carolina Panthers blowout. He'll have weeks such as this, but good luck picking when to use him.
  • WAIVER WIRE: Chris Ogbonnaya is the back on which the Cleveland Browns will rely when they're trying to cut a deficit. Willis McGahee is the grinder. In PPRs, Ogbonnaya has fleeting flex appeal.

Wide receivers up next....

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About Tim Heaney

Tim's work has been featured by USA Today/Sports Weekly, among numerous outlets, and recognized as a finalist in the Fantasy Sports Writers Association awards. The Boston University alum, who competes in the prestigious LABR and Tout Wars, has won numerous industry leagues in both baseball and football.

He appears frequently, including every Sunday, on Sirius XM Fantasy Sports Radio, as well as every Wednesday on 1570 AM WNST in Baltimore.

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