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Fantasy baseball player profiles: NL - Shortstops

Fantasy baseball player profiles: NL - Shortstops

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Quick Jump: Fantasy Baseball Player Profiles

1 Hanley Ramirez, SS, Florida Marlins
2 Jimmy Rollins, SS, Philadelphia Phillies
3 Troy Tulowitzki, SS, Colorado Rockies
4 Jose Reyes, SS, New York Mets
5 Yunel Escobar, SS, Atlanta Braves
6 Alcides Escobar, SS, Milwaukee Brewers
7 Stephen Drew, SS, Arizona Diamondbacks
8 Ryan Theriot, SS, Chicago Cubs
9 Cristian Guzman, SS, Washington Nationals
10 Everth Cabrera, SS, San Diego Padres
11 Edgar Renteria, SS, San Francisco Giants
12 Brendan Ryan, SS, St. Louis Cardinals

Hanley Ramirez, SS, Florida Marlins
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
49385139237918.282.347.491.838

Expected drop-off in stolen base attempts with change in lineup position, but opportunities rose in second half as slugging tailed off. Hanley Ramirez has established new baseline for batting average. Rebounding flyball percentage didn't agree with slide in long balls; expectation is a modest tradeoff in BA for a few more home runs.


Jimmy Rollins, SS, Philadelphia Phillies
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
53671133103819.248.315.371.686

Was a terrible hit percentage in the first half the only thing to blame? Obvious: Jimmy Rollins is in overall decline, but he's not as bad as his final 2009 line says. Not so obvious: He probably isn't much better. Expect a rebound in stolen bases with increased opportunities, assuming he remains at leadoff.


Troy Tulowitzki, SS, Colorado Rockies
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
4967815028935.302.379.538.917

The power is real, but Troy Tulowitzki's high HR/FB (fueled by post-break hotness) should come back down. Twenty steals isn't guaranteed, but he's aiming to remain involved on the basepaths. Tulowitzki's position defines his elite price. Beware: It'll be hard for him to match what he'll cost, especially with his streakiness and the risk of his steals dropping.


Jose Reyes, SS, New York Mets
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
56684169145332.299.355.445.800

Four straight seasons with a virtual clean bill of health ... then, 2009. When Jose Reyes is injured, he stays injured. Overactive thyroid clouds picture and means he won't be useful for undetermined period. Reality: This can be controlled and is only discouraging because it affects his availability for conditioning. That emphasizes this: His legs are still bigger issue. Improvements in power peripherals make him dynamic, but value is derived from speed; any ill effect or redux means loss of impact on base paths. Worth the risk when the price is appreciably lower - outside the first four or five mixed rounds - because drafters may overreact to thyroid news. Reyes is just not a foundation pick.


Yunel Escobar, SS, Atlanta Braves
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
521631409584.269.341.374.715

Yunel Escobar's power, corroborated by HR/FB and FB percentages, has slowly yet steadily climbed. An investment now gets you in at reasonable midrange mixed price as he continues upward trajectory, with little tradeoff in batting average. Physical maturity is just around corner, although mental lapses remain a concern.


Alcides Escobar, SS, Milwaukee Brewers
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5936414845128.250.285.325.610

More known for glove, Escobar stuck with groundball game - plus for a speedster. Alcides Escobar worked on patience in Venezuelan winter ball and has slowly improving batting eye. Hesitant to thieve upon call-up, but might work itself out as season goes on. Productive steals filler in late mixed rounds.


Stephen Drew, SS, Arizona Diamondbacks
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
4405710912585.248.328.423.751

Stephen Drew broke out in 2008 but regressed in 2009. How much, though? Drew showed more patience at the plate. His talent level isn't quite elite. He has posted inconsistent year-to-year performances in many indicators. Makings of better buy following a down year than a safe one following a good one. This year, he has upside.


Ryan Theriot, SS, Chicago Cubs
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Ryan Theriot's contact rate is still high but has declined two straight years; another drop in average may be next. Theriot's batting eye came at the expense of more homers; bet on his history of discipline coming back before you do a power repeat. Luckily, the light stick kept running, and he may hit leadoff - these fuel his late deep-mixed value.


Cristian Guzman, SS, Washington Nationals
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

What you see is what you get. Shaky batting eye offset by high line-drive and contact rates; Cristian Guzman's line drives fell last year, too. Lack of steals doesn't help his blah contributions. He shouldn't be drafted in mixed leagues and is a low-level NL shortstop option; should be avoided unless desperate drafter needs someone to eat at-bats.


Everth Cabrera, SS, San Diego Padres
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5378014154148.263.333.354.687

The Pads jumped the former Rule 5 pick to the bigs, and Everth Cabrera paid off with speed, his best asset. But what else can he offer? It's unsafe to think he'll keep the job full-time, especially with his undeveloped offensive skills; he's still young. Pads have insurance in Jerry Hairston Jr. Even if you're steals-desperate, overpaying for unpolished thief will hurt your potential, even from a deep mixed middie spot.


Edgar Renteria, SS, San Francisco Giants
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Edgar Renteria's groundball increase would be flattering if he could still beat them out frequently. Maybe he regains a bit of power after elbow surgery, but this is a downward-moving commodity. It's hard to justify putting him on mixed rosters, and NL owners who have to settle for him should try to find backup plans.


Brendan Ryan, SS, St. Louis Cardinals
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
23123503174.216.280.299.579

Wrist injury stalling Brendan's Ryan's Spring Training. Absurd BABIP prone to drop despite the solid contact he makes. High groundball pace will probably keep his average respectable, though, and he'll contribute double-digit steals as a starter. A low-end NL-only shortstop if he's on track for Opening Day.