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Fantasy baseball player profiles: Mixed - Outfielders

Fantasy baseball player profiles: Mixed - Outfielders

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Quick Jump: Fantasy Baseball Player Profiles

1 Ryan Braun, OF, Milwaukee Brewers
2 Carl Crawford, OF, Tampa Bay Rays
3 Matt Kemp, OF, Los Angeles Dodgers
4 Matt Holliday, OF, St. Louis Cardinals
5 Jacoby Ellsbury, OF, Boston Red Sox
6 Justin Upton, OF, Arizona Diamondbacks
7 Bobby Abreu, OF, Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
8 Jason Bay, OF, New York Mets
9 Jayson Werth, OF, Philadelphia Phillies
10 Grady Sizemore, OF, Cleveland Indians
11 Ichiro Suzuki, OF, Seattle Mariners
12 Adam Lind, OF, Toronto Blue Jays
13 Curtis Granderson, OF, New York Yankees
14 Shin-Soo Choo, OF, Cleveland Indians
15 Andre Ethier, OF, Los Angeles Dodgers
16 Nelson Cruz, OF, Texas Rangers
17 Nick Markakis, OF, Baltimore Orioles
18 Torii Hunter, OF, Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
19 B.J. Upton, OF, Tampa Bay Rays
20 Shane Victorino, OF, Philadelphia Phillies
21 Denard Span, OF, Minnesota Twins
22 Andrew McCutchen, OF, Pittsburgh Pirates
23 Carlos Lee, OF, Houston Astros
24 Alex Rios, OF, Chicago White Sox
25 Jason Kubel, OF, Minnesota Twins
26 Hunter Pence, OF, Houston Astros
27 Carlos Quentin, OF, Chicago White Sox
28 Raul Ibanez, OF, Philadelphia Phillies
29 Johnny Damon, OF, Detroit Tigers
30 Jay Bruce, OF, Cincinnati Reds
31 Adam L. Jones, OF, Baltimore Orioles
32 Ryan Ludwick, OF, St. Louis Cardinals
33 Manny Ramirez, OF, Los Angeles Dodgers
34 Nate McLouth, OF, Atlanta Braves
35 Josh Hamilton, OF, Texas Rangers
36 Franklin Gutierrez, OF, Seattle Mariners
37 Michael Cuddyer, OF, Minnesota Twins
38 Carlos Beltran, OF, New York Mets
39 Vernon Wells, OF, Toronto Blue Jays
40 Michael Bourn, OF, Houston Astros
41 Magglio Ordonez, OF, Detroit Tigers
42 Alfonso Soriano, OF, Chicago Cubs
43 Rajai Davis, OF, Oakland Athletics
44 Chris Coghlan, OF, Florida Marlins
45 J.D. Drew, OF, Boston Red Sox
46 Corey Hart, OF, Milwaukee Brewers
47 Juan Pierre, OF, Chicago White Sox
48 Nolan Reimold, OF, Baltimore Orioles
49 Lastings Milledge, OF, Pittsburgh Pirates
50 Brad Hawpe, OF, Colorado Rockies
51 Mike Cameron, OF, Boston Red Sox
52 Josh Willingham, OF, Washington Nationals
53 Colby Rasmus, OF, St. Louis Cardinals
54 Nick Swisher, OF, New York Yankees
55 David DeJesus, OF, Kansas City Royals
56 Carlos Gonzalez, OF, Colorado Rockies
57 Conor Jackson, OF, Arizona Diamondbacks
58 Brett Gardner, OF, New York Yankees
59 Juan Rivera, OF, Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
60 Marlon Byrd, OF, Chicago Cubs
61 Jermaine Dye, OF, free agent
62 Coco Crisp, OF, Oakland Athletics
63 Cody Ross, OF, Florida Marlins
64 Julio Borbon, OF, Texas Rangers
65 Dexter Fowler, OF, Colorado Rockies
66 Elijah Dukes, OF, free agent
67 Nyjer Morgan, OF, Milwaukee Brewers
68 Aaron Rowand, OF, San Francisco Giants
69 Travis Snider, OF, Toronto Blue Jays
70 Kyle Blanks, OF, San Diego Padres
71 Jason Heyward, OF, Atlanta Braves
72 Carlos Gomez, OF, Milwaukee Brewers
73 Chris B. Young, OF, Arizona Diamondbacks
74 Jeff Francoeur, OF, New York Mets
75 Scott Podsednik, OF, Kansas City Royals
76 Delmon Young, OF, Minnesota Twins
77 Luke Scott, 1B/OF, Baltimore Orioles
78 Drew Stubbs, OF, Cincinnati Reds
79 Milton Bradley, OF, Seattle Mariners
80 Cameron Maybin, OF, Florida Marlins
81 Rick Ankiel, OF, Kansas City Royals
82 Kosuke Fukudome, OF, Chicago Cubs
83 Carlos Guillen, OF, Detroit Tigers
84 Melky Cabrera, OF, Atlanta Braves
85 Ryan Sweeney, OF, Oakland Athletics
86 Randy Winn, OF, San Francisco Giants
87 Eric Byrnes, OF, Seattle Mariners
88 Will Venable, OF, San Diego Padres
89 Michael Brantley, OF, Cleveland Indians
90 Chris Dickerson, OF, Cincinnati Reds
91 Felix Pie, OF, Baltimore Orioles
92 Scott Hairston, OF, San Diego Padres
93 Austin Jackson, OF, Detroit Tigers
94 Tony Gwynn Jr., OF, San Diego Padres
95 Nate Schierholtz, OF, San Francisco Giants
96 Gerardo Parra, OF, Arizona Diamondbacks
97 Ken Griffey Jr., DH, Seattle Mariners
98 Xavier Nady, OF, Chicago Cubs
99 Matt Joyce, OF, Tampa Bay Rays
100 Andruw Jones, OF, Chicago White Sox
101 Jeremy Hermida, OF, Boston Red Sox
102 Desmond Jennings, OF, Tampa Bay Rays
103 Gabe Kapler, OF, Tampa Bay Rays

Ryan Braun, OF, Milwaukee Brewers
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
57889169309719.292.364.528.892

Inflated BABIP not entirely unfounded; Ryan Braun increased line drives and groundballs. Consistent 30-homer bat also locking in stolen bases; not bad for first-round staple. Live with the hacks; increasing walks temper their pain. Bona fide stud.


Carl Crawford, OF, Tampa Bay Rays
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
4967613694220.274.321.415.736

Carl Crawford bounced back from a finger injury in '08, returning to his ridiculous steal elite-itude. What was also ridiculous: his 10.3 HR/FB, which gives one pause in the speedster's dropping flyball rates. What if that normalizes? Banking on a huge growth this year is a pipe dream, but his contact, larceny, runs and clip should keep flowing.


Matt Kemp, OF, Los Angeles Dodgers
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
46170131227313.284.353.492.845

Hard not to love upticks in flyball percentage, FB/HR, contact rate and BB/K. Absence of Manny Ramirez might have played part in Matt Kemp's scaling of the 100-RBI mountain for first time, but Man-Ram was present for Kemp's biggest month. Expect stolen bases to become tradeoff for power, but not alarmingly. Oozing talent plus last year's campaign put him on cusp of 30-30 season. Mixed first-round price tag and offseason limelight make him a little chancy.


Matt Holliday, OF, St. Louis Cardinals
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5448915821915.290.379.471.850

Toiled in Oakland, shined hitting behind Albert Pujols. Matt Holliday willl stick there for awhile. Didn't show homer weakness in latter pitcher-friendly park. He'll cool off in full season there: He didn't attempt many steals in his lineup spot. Regenerated flyball count and sustained batting eye solidify top-30 rank.


Jacoby Ellsbury, OF, Boston Red Sox
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
53788151156240.281.338.432.770

Well, Jacoby Ellsbury ran more; and more efficiently, adding to his already scary prowess. Ellsbury also proved he can take a walk. He's hitting more flyballs but isn't sacrificing much contact. If you're going to pay for his top-level speed and runs, don't forget about power sources.


Justin Upton, OF, Arizona Diamondbacks
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
575101157298214.273.356.485.841

Justin Upton, an elite talent, made a leap last year. He smoked 26 homers, but flyball percentage and second half didn't necessarily agree. Average should come down (poor batting eye, not enough contact). No doubt his ceiling is sky-high, but don't overpay in non-keeper formats. Greater potential than his brother, but like B.J., not a lock to live up to weighty expectations yet.


Bobby Abreu, OF, Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
9217233131.250.327.391.718

Patience was Bobby Abreu's virtue last year during another 100-RBI season. Too bad his power and his line-drive rate dropped; we can kiss his '08 homer potential goodbye. He does enough of everything else to make him useful, especially since the Halos love to run, but he'll be 36 when the campaign starts. Abreu can only drop. 


Jason Bay, OF, New York Mets
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Move to Citi Field from Fenway Park gives pause, but given a typical path of a Jason Bay ball in flight and some similar dimensions, it may not matter. Bay was a road homer warrior in 2009. New teammates won't be quite as good and have more question marks, but batting average should rebound a bit, assuming the dip in contact was an anomaly and liner rate continues slow climb.


Jayson Werth, OF, Philadelphia Phillies
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
49686139218211.280.366.470.836

Broke out in first year of full-time work. Ton of strikeouts but walks often to sustain Jayson Werth's midrange batting eye and line up stolen base attempts. His flyball rate is at slight risk of coming down, but that may be an establishment of his skills. 30-homer, 20-steal capability puts him in top-30 discussion and is a relatively safe commodity as long as you balance him with a batting average specialist.


Grady Sizemore, OF, Cleveland Indians
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
398549713525.244.307.430.737

Elbow and groin injuries hampered Grady Sizemore before he underwent two surgeries, but Sizemore was leaving the yard, making contact and putting balls in the air often anyway. Renewed strength should extract more from his abilities. .300 hitter? No, but a 20-20 threat (minimum) when healthy. Return him to top-30 value. Take advantage if a fear-induced discount breaks out. 


Ichiro Suzuki, OF, Seattle Mariners
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
316378242212.259.293.339.632

Elite contact and top-level swipes, but some warnings: Ichiro Suzuki's already mediocre batting eye tanked, and his line drive rate has declined in each of the last four years. This slow decay might become more pronounced soon. His stolen-base accuracy tanked, too. He still suffices as a No. 1 mixed outfielder, but don't ignore the red flags. 


Adam Lind, OF, Toronto Blue Jays
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
4586012420671.271.340.463.803

Solving lefties and second-half power swell propelled Adam Lind's breakout in first full season. Walk rate nearly doubled '08 figure, which might offset potential contact drop. Flyball rate exploded and HR/FB stayed at elite levels. Rough patches forewarn of streakiness, but he's entering his prime years. The signs point to a light drop-off, if any; don't be afraid to make him part of your core. 


Curtis Granderson, OF, New York Yankees
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
53176128257811.241.329.431.760

Overcoming lefty pitching remains Curtis Granderson's biggest task, one that the Bombers hope hitting guru Kevin Long can fix. Grandy still carries 30-homer pop - his new home helps; but his lineup placement (looks like sixth most often) may knock down his steals.


Shin-Soo Choo, OF, Cleveland Indians
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
572100160196319.280.385.451.836

Possible average killer: a stumbling of Shin-Soo Choo's batting eye, which is buoyed by his high-level walk rate. Line drives keep his clip up, though. His mediocre contact rate doesn't forecast further growth. He was fortunate in his steals success; that should come down. You'll pay for his five-category contribution, but he's a worthy safety valve within the first six mixed rounds.


Andre Ethier, OF, Los Angeles Dodgers
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
4125111412532.277.353.434.787

A three-year upward trend finally saw Andre Ethier's power breakout. Appeared to sacrifice some of his near-.300 average for dingers (more K's, less contact, fewer hits but higher HR/FB); easiest correction for average could come if he improves lefty and road BA. He's done both in the past, only for short stretches; increased exposure to lefties should pay off. He's drafted toward the end of the top 20 mixed outfielders, but his potentially elite return in the non-steals categories could make it tough to snag him without reaching a bit.


Nelson Cruz, OF, Texas Rangers
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
4906412727825.259.315.480.795

I told you so, Nelson Cruz said about '08. More flyballs surfaced, even as he battled nagging injuries. His legit 30-20 line will ease his batting average "contribution," but you don't pay for that last part, anyway. Don't be scared by his potential seven-hole spot.


Nick Markakis, OF, Baltimore Orioles
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
6168817713622.287.347.399.746

If Nick Markakis could hit lefties, he'd be more attractive. You enjoy his run production and ability to steal. You hate his reluctance to steal and the fact that 25 homers may never happen. Either way, he's a nice No. 2 mixed outfielder who's a safe bet in three categories and for health. Imagine if he really starts to exploit the Warehouse....


Torii Hunter, OF, Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5487915715783.286.325.431.756

What a surprise: Torii Hunter tried playing through injury. The 20-20 capability remains, but you should know to back him up if you take him. He walked more, so that's encouraging, but his .335 BABIP doesn't match up with his 16.3 line-drive percentage and dropping contact. Await a correction, but he's still solid. 


B.J. Upton, OF, Tampa Bay Rays
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
49352115185021.233.311.394.705

Though B.J. Upton lagged in second-half plate discipline, the elder Upton, 25, turned up the speed to compensate. He hit more flies - a nice sign following his injury-related, homer-sapped 2008. His stolen base production is already cemented; waiting for him to leave the yard more won't be much of a sacrifice and might turn out to be one of the most productive gambles in all of baseball.


Shane Victorino, OF, Philadelphia Phillies
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
52284146135522.280.343.437.780

Rising batting eye, line-drive rate and high contact rate show Shane Victorino's BA growth in the last two years is likely to stay. You can live with low-teens homers, as long as he gives you the elusive 100-run performance and approaches 30 swipes. Does enough elsewhere to make him worth grabbing in the mixed top 50 if speed is a priority.


Denard Span, OF, Minnesota Twins
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5567015344318.275.328.381.709

The sparkplug built on his '08 MLB debut. Though Denard Span's skills might eventually make it stable, his '09 .311 clip is not supported by his inflated in-play average; he was also noticeably conservative in attempting steals. The light-hitting youngster's climbing contact assures he'll be useful as a four-category threat.


Andrew McCutchen, OF, Pittsburgh Pirates
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
56793174258824.307.398.526.924

Lightning injection after call-up, with pleasing walk rate to boot. Andrew McCutchen bulked up a little; power increase coming? Might mean sacrificing average, though clip skills are his best bet behind steals. Didn't show high-level flyball skills in minors; count on a modest growth in homers but an improvement in contact-related skills. Buccos stretched out his development, so he'll read pitches better in a full season. Mixed leaguers shouldn't be afraid to overspend on him in the middle rounds of drafts because of his top-50 potential; acquiring his steals will give you an advantage at a cheaper price than other elite thieves.


Carlos Lee, OF, Houston Astros
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Batting eye is leisurely headed downward, but contact rate is moving upward at about same rate. Days of .300 aren't over, but they're numbered. Carlos Lee's slugging percentage pattern looks similar to Magglio Ordonez's. Lack of speed contribution anymore makes him dependent on homers, RBIs for top-100 value. Keeper leaguers, if you get in at a good price this year, sell high.


Alex Rios, OF, Chicago White Sox
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
59391168188329.283.327.445.772

Alex Rios has disappointed in power for so long, let line drives slip between his hands in '09 and floundered in his White Sox time. But he's only 28, and his flyball rate returned to '07 levels. A full season at U.S. Cellular Field increases his homer potential; bank on 20 swipes first, but Rios carries true sleeper value at a steep discount.


Jason Kubel, OF, Minnesota Twins
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
410429915590.241.314.420.734

The budding slugger's power is Jason Kubel most certain asset, but Kubel's moderate improvement against southpaws should keep his clip at least close to .300. He makes hard contact, too. His prime spot in the heart of Minny's order should help sustain his run production.


Hunter Pence, OF, Houston Astros
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
6218917224869.277.335.461.796

Hunter Pence's ontact rate has remained not special, but solid uptick in BB/K says last year's BA isn't unreasonable. Batted-ball charts are where disturbance lies. Very low rate on line drives, low rate on flyballs from big-framed player who's not growing as a slugger since excitement-inducing debut. Upside remains, but your draft choice is based more on conjecture than evidence.


Carlos Quentin, OF, Chicago White Sox
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
3905710019660.256.350.482.832

With a pin removed from his wrist, Quentin also needs to regain his plate approach. He'll work with hitting coach Greg Walker. Why you should buy low: Quentin hit 11 homers after his July return. He'll return something between his MVP-caliber '08 and his injury-stripped '09.


Raul Ibanez, OF, Philadelphia Phillies
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
392459118560.232.300.431.731

Raul Ibanez's power boost was even greater than expected after the move from the Seattle Mariners. Reality: first-half 2009 was about as magical a run as possible. He had offseason shports hernia surgery, and age is catching up. No question: He wasn't the same after returning from the DL. But how much of that contributed to fall-offs in line-drive rate and contact rate?


Johnny Damon, OF, Detroit Tigers
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Thank new Yankee Stadium for Johnny Damon's home run spike. That plus Yanks' desire not to run themselves out of big innings were reasons for SB attempts drop-off, age another. Depressed steals output, return to normal rate of homers, BA skills slowly headed south - not mixed top-100 material. Still, Damon is a reliable player, safe midrange investment. Watch for slight inflation now that he has signed.


Jay Bruce, OF, Cincinnati Reds
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
6038615432988.255.327.489.816

Spend an extra dollar or three. Jay Bruce hit .223 last year, but Bruce had an atrocious .222 BABIP, and batted-ball rates, particularly in minors, are more conducive to BA success than that. He showed more patience and made more contact. In a full season, 30-plus homers are easily attainable. Upside may drive up what should still be an affordable cost, and return should be substantial.


Adam L. Jones, OF, Baltimore Orioles
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
63493178309912.281.319.489.808

Before the season, Adam L. Jones promised he'd run more. Jones instead surprised us with his power maturity (maybe a bit ahead of schedule) and an absurdly high first-half BABIP. Injuries contributed to his second-half decline and probably hurt his ability to run. His line-drive rate sunk while his grounders swelled, but an increase in flyballs can ease any drop-off of his high HR/FB. He's a top-100 mixed player that's worth reaching a round for because of his 20-20 upside.


Ryan Ludwick, OF, St. Louis Cardinals
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
4646111416670.246.318.431.749

BABIP and performance against righties normalized Ryan Ludwick's batting average, as expected. There isn't much upside to this late bloomer; '08 looks anomalous. But power remains, even if that was inflated, too. Flyball increase plays to that strength. Maintains RBI-happy spot in order, too. He resides outside the top 100, but he can suitably fill out five-outfielder lineups as long as power is your only expectation.


Manny Ramirez, OF, Los Angeles Dodgers
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Not bad for a suspension-shortened season. Manny Ramirez became more selective, but his HR/FB points to fading power. Even with his improving batting eye, he's risky. He can perform as a No. 1 outfielder, but at this stage, there are options with more upside and equal or less downside.


Nate McLouth, OF, Atlanta Braves
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
304437672015.250.319.388.707

Expect an average closer to .256 (2009) than .276 (2008), when Nate McLouth's contact and line-drive rates were highs. His HR/FB continued with modest improvement. He battled oblique and hamstring injuries last year, which can absorb some of blame for fall-off, too, at least on base paths. He's a 20-20 threat but, that's probably it. Factor that into his price if someone keeps bidding.


Josh Hamilton, OF, Texas Rangers
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5608115125925.270.327.473.800

Josh Hamilton hit earth even harder than expected, helped by a nagging pinched nerve in his back. For what it's worth, reports say he'll focus on taking more pitches in the three-hole. The 28-year-old actually hit more liners and flyballs last year; regaining his strength should help. A potential steal.


Franklin Gutierrez, OF, Seattle Mariners
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Eye gradually improved since '07. Value in stolen base potential; M's trying to be more aggressive on base paths; Franklin Gutierrez has high success rates already. Fluky HR/FB lent to homer boom, but a flyball rebound would negate that figure's normalization and push toward 20-20 upside. He deserves a bench spot at least in mixed leagues, but don't overspend. 


Michael Cuddyer, OF, Minnesota Twins
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
45469127197210.280.339.502.841

Michael Cuddyer's spike in air shots cemented his best skill. Cuddyer dropped to a more believable batting eye, too. If you're hoping for more growth, it's best to instead settle for a 20-homer baseline. He doesn't post promising batting average skills.


Carlos Beltran, OF, New York Mets
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5167914629872.283.343.508.851

Whatever is going on in Carlos Beltran's right knee, it's not positive. Batting average skills are improving, but last year's hit rate was a big jump. Homer skills are not, with poor timing: Citi Field is for towering drives, not lined shots. Speed on a downward trend, too. Too much talent here, but long-term investment should be at a discount only.


Vernon Wells, OF, Toronto Blue Jays
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Hamstring bothered Vernon Wells again last spring, but his increased swipes total didn't reflect injury. Maybe wrist surgery will help him do more with rebounded flyball percentage. Late-season batting eye improvement says there's some hope he can re-approach a respectable average. His 2006 power probably won't return, but he isn't far from revisiting 20-homer territory. A decent gamble.


Michael Bourn, OF, Houston Astros
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5678215564830.273.331.372.703

Took walks more frequently, but that frequency slowly regressed. Line-drive production helped to boost Michael Bourn's high hit rate. A walk rate approaching 10 percent and his diet of ropes make or break him. He has more sustenance than Willy Taveras, but Bourn's single-category contribution has driven up his draft stock. No such type is mixed top-100 material.


Magglio Ordonez, OF, Detroit Tigers
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Magglio Ordonez's flyball rate tanked, but he upped his contact and line-drive frequency. Personal and political issues weighed on his psyche, but his wood seemed too heavy for him to leave the yard. He turned it on after the break, indicating a slight rebound is on the horizon. Don't buy for 20 homers.


Alfonso Soriano, OF, Chicago Cubs
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5046212328826.244.298.468.766

Alfonso Soriano was bothered by a knee problem for most of the second half before undergoing arthroscopic surgery. In the first half he was his usual self: low average, plenty of power and some steals. Refreshed health and new hitting coach Rudy Jaramillo should help. Profit could be great if drafters undervalue him and you aim for a modest swipes rebound.


Rajai Davis, OF, Oakland Athletics
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
3805710163043.266.314.379.693

Steals pace matched playing time. Rajai Davis walked some more, which helped beat the "can't steal first" rap. Must keep liner and groundball rates up to help in average; another year of flyball increase would hurt. Steals drive his mixed price up to the middle rounds. Banking on anything else is dangerous.


Chris Coghlan, OF, Florida Marlins
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Chris Coghlan's premier farm eye helped his transition to the bigs. He steals a bit, and there's a good chance Florida's aggressiveness on the bases will help increase Coghlan's pace there. Coghlan's .365 BABIP will probably drop, but he kept high levels there throughout his farm career; he excels in line drives. Since his value stems mainly from batting average and steals, temper your excitement, but he's useful as a No. 4 or 5 outfielder in deep mixed leagues and can serve as a No. 3 in NL-only setups.


J.D. Drew, OF, Boston Red Sox
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Known as the Energizer Bunny in Philly, this 34-year-old is starting to regain some juice. This highly skilled vet has a chronic injury bug, but J.D. Drew also has chronic talent; the only time he reached 500 at-bats was in 2004. Drew's contact rate hasn't fluctuated much, and his batting eye hasn't dipped below 0.75 since 2002. He'll be a cheap investment, too, as long as you consider him a bonus.


Corey Hart, OF, Milwaukee Brewers
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
4256511019604.259.320.464.784

Foot injury and appendicitis halted Corey Hart's midseason progress. Coaches wanted more patience from 20-20 threat but blamed that for his decreased power. Expect him to resume hacking; downward HR/FB trend worrisome but fixable with health and aggressiveness. Many forgetting about this late-round profit opportunity. 


Juan Pierre, OF, Chicago White Sox
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

While Manny was trying to conceive, Juan Pierre reminded everyone how sparkplug-like he could be. He tries to swipe a bag about half the times he reaches, and he continued his line-drive prowess. With his contributions in the speedier categories, Pierre comes in as a valuable No. 5 mixed outfielder.


Nolan Reimold, OF, Baltimore Orioles
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
9914255141.253.312.455.767

Nolan Reimold played through an Achilles' injury last year but managed a successful rookie campaign, especially with such a low line-drive rate as a starting point. His plate discipline and capable thievery fostered his rapid promotion. As long as you don't throw too many eggs in his basket, don't be afraid to target Reimold before playing time competitor Felix Pie, who's less intriguing.


Lastings Milledge, OF, Pittsburgh Pirates
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Showed revitalized contact ability after second-half call-up. Lastings Milledge ppears willing to improve attitude. Broken finger affected his power, so working that back into health improves his chances to rebound there. Second year with flyball increase puts him on the doorstep to a homer breakout. Add 20-steal capability and you have a slick late-round upside pick.


Brad Hawpe, OF, Colorado Rockies
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Brad Hawpe has seen his homers and flyball percentage drop in each of the last two seasons; last second half, his lift drastically faded. He's on the downswing of his prime years; how much longer can Hawpe prop up his struggles versus southpaws? He's in No. 4 outfielder territory for mixed; expecting 2007 numbers at this point will do you in.


Mike Cameron, OF, Boston Red Sox
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Well, at least you know what you're getting: 20 homers, a ton of strikeouts, some (declining) stolen base production and a hurtful batting average. Too bad UZR doesn't count toward roto leagues. Hopefully Mike Cameron will attempt more swipes than last year in this aggressively footed team, and one would think a pull hitter could succeed at Fenway Park.


Josh Willingham, OF, Washington Nationals
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
4645211024671.237.350.446.796

Josh Willingham's playing time was spotty due to positional logjam and injury, but his frequent home runs will undoubtedly earn him more time this year. His walk rate has also increased in each of the last three seasons. This patient slugger unfortunately doesn't have a batting eye that suggests a clip improvement. Buy him for his late, cheap power.


Colby Rasmus, OF, St. Louis Cardinals
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5016312123742.242.309.443.752

Discovered elusive walks in second half, but everything else tanked. Perhaps fatigue- or illness-related; hiatal hernia weakened him midseason, possibly afterward. Still needs to solve lefties. Reports say he had trouble with his old bats coach; Mark McGwire could help him capture his power stroke. Late improvements in patience point to some growth. The now-healthy Colby Rasmus is worth a late gamble. 


Nick Swisher, OF, New York Yankees
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5447213822701.254.348.432.780

Xavier Nady's injury opened the door last year. Patience and power are Nick Swisher's calling cards; he focuses more on reaching base than recording hits. Few see as many pitches. He fans often, too, but he also loves the new Stadium. A sure bet for 25-plus homers, sub-.260 average.


David DeJesus, OF, Kansas City Royals
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
480661229456.254.328.385.713

At least David DeJesus is safe in his mediocre offerings across the board: something around .280, 10 home runs and 10 steals. This settle option fills rosters but doesn't fulfill fantasy dreams. His stability is worth a few extra bucks in AL leagues just for his playing time.


Carlos Gonzalez, OF, Colorado Rockies
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
50687149289024.294.364.543.907

Carlos Gonzalez learned how to take a pitch in Colorado and saw his power jump, somewhat earlier than expected. His high line-drive rate and BABIP are on shaky ground, especially with his iffy batting eye; can he succeed consistently against lefties? He's an expensive 20-20 threat - high risk, potentially high (but likely moderate) reward for 2010.


Conor Jackson, OF, Arizona Diamondbacks
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Illness sidelined Conor Jackson for almost all of 2009. He's a safe target in 2010: He still makes good contact and has a great batting eye. That has translated into around a .290-15-75 line in the past. He's only likely to return value in NL leagues, but his missed year could leave him under radar.


Brett Gardner, OF, New York Yankees
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
4777512874336.268.348.392.740

Despite competition, Brett Gardner will probably be the full-time left fielder. The speed? We love. The contact? Very promising. The power? Uh, did we mention the speed? Gardner did learn how to trot to first last season, and he made vast improvements against southpaws. The speed (and potentially runs) column suits Gardner best. He's applicable as a late-round steals threat in deep mixed.


Juan Rivera, OF, Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

In Juan Rivera's busiest season, he posted career-best homers and RBIs. He whiffed less and walked more. His contact hardened, reaffirming his power skills. The 31-year-old could sustain or improve this because his playing time is more certain. Do you want to rest your midround hopes on him? No.


Marlon Byrd, OF, Chicago Cubs
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
4215611314561.268.312.444.756

Marlon Byrd joins hitting coach Rudy Jaramillo, his aide in Texas last year. Fourteen of Byrd's 20 homers came at home last year. His new digs help dingers, too, but his flyball rate might return toward his career norms. He likely won't bring a great mixed return if he becomes anything more than your No. 5 outfielder or utility bat; he's streaky.


Jermaine Dye, OF, free agent
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

A tale of two halves: first one from a 25-year-old, second from a 45-year-old. Jermaine Dye's back problems, age and post-break power failure should scare more folks. BB/K was best in years, but not highly positive. Maybe drafters think, We've seen this before. Yeah? Not this bad. But hey, a sale is a sale. Dye, 36, is likelier to succeed than others in mixed No. 4 or No. 5 outfielder range.


Coco Crisp, OF, Oakland Athletics
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
48773126125029.259.325.402.727

Shoulder injuries ended Coco Crisp's season, which saw him aggressively swiping bases. He showed significant improvement in strike zone command and suffered from a disturbingly low BABIP, which might have been injury-related. Crisp has a chance to lock down full-time duty as one of Oakland's basepath sparks. His lineup isn't dangerous, but that might lower his price. He doesn't necessarily warrant a deep-mixed selection, but AL drafters should pay a few extra dollars for him.


Cody Ross, OF, Florida Marlins
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
4105110713613.261.322.424.746

Though his batting average will take ample help to reach its '07 level, Cody Ross' skill set is stabilizing. Increased flyball rate will keep him at 20 homers, potentially sniffing 30. Improvement against righties helped. He's a decent late-round power option that should adequately fill out a deep lineup, as long as you don't reach into the middle stanzas.


Julio Borbon, OF, Texas Rangers
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Julio Borbon OF Texas Rangers

Steal-happy newbie wasted no time showing high contact and groundball rates, which will help Julio Borbon's average. However, limited PT contributed to good luck in his on-play clip. He's not a lock for full-time duty, either; we may see David Murphy in often. This, and a downturn in his first full season, should keep your bidding chiefly to his steals potential. 


Dexter Fowler, OF, Colorado Rockies
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
46074118114717.257.357.402.759

Lack of experience didn't hurt the speedster that much. Dexter Fowler showed remarkable patience for someone that skipped Triple-A ball; considering 2009 was essentially that stage, we should be encouraged. Fowler's stolen base reliability has already arrived; a batting eye improvement and an effort to keep the ball on the ground will aid his clip growth. The late-rounder should return considerable profit.


Elijah Dukes, OF, free agent
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Elijah Dukes' batting eye declined again, though his increased contact and rebounded flyball rates are good signs. His fluky HR/FB should come back up a bit too. His dedication is what is most in question. A league-only flier who could round out a reserve list and find utility value; add a buck for upside if nothing else is attractive.


Nyjer Morgan, OF, Milwaukee Brewers
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
981526164.265.333.347.680

Before broken hand stopped Nyjer Morgan's season, speedster returned to grounders, helping to preserve his average. Walk rate increase should help preserve it, too. Though grounders back up positive trend, his BABIP was still way too high, and he didn't improve against lefties. Expect his batting average and in-play clip to fall. If you can absorb regression in non-steals categories, he could pass as a No. 5 mixed outfielder.


Aaron Rowand, OF, San Francisco Giants
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Aaron Rowand's flyball increase was negated by AT&T Park. If you haven't figured it out, '07 is an outlier. He isn't even running anymore. There's too little he offers across the board to make Rowand anything more than an NL-only outfield filler.


Travis Snider, OF, Toronto Blue Jays
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
20323475204.232.293.365.658

Travis Snider's hacker profile will keep his batting eye improvements minimal, and he still needs to figure out lefties. Didn't face many southpaws in bigs; he might need more time in Triple-A. The power upside keeps him intriguing. Deep mixed and AL owners that choose to draft him probably won't see decent return until midseason.


Kyle Blanks, OF, San Diego Padres
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
14717375191.252.323.401.724

Kyle Blanks wasted no time proving power is his skills baseline. Walk rate is high, but unfortunately batting eye is not. His flyballs might not be that productive at PETCO Park long term, but he hit more out at home last year. Bench material in deep leagues due to his not-yet-developed plate discipline, with upside due to pop.


Jason Heyward, OF, Atlanta Braves
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
52183138226513.265.356.463.819

Consensus top prospect in baseball enters age-20 season expected to take right-field reins - maybe out of camp. Jason Heyward has skills for immediate success in batting average with at least modest power. He bulked up 20 pounds in span of one year. Adapted quickly to each level, but highest is Double-A, with limited time. Inexperience is only red flag. Worth a reach late in deep mixed affairs or before the final third in NL drafts. Expect inflation.


Carlos Gomez, OF, Milwaukee Brewers
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
58491154256241.264.320.478.798

Still fooled by lefties, but the Brewers essentially handing speedster the center-field job; coaches want to focus on steals more this year. Poor batting eye doesn't predict much batting average growth, but Carlos Gomez was controlling strike zone better last year. You can pay late-round prices for his swipes potential, but suppress expectations of growth elsewhere.


Chris B. Young, OF, Arizona Diamondbacks
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
46669100175815.215.301.391.692

Chris B. Young's BABIP was unexpectedly low, and he has improved his batting eye two years running, but contact is going in opposite direction. Eight of his 15 homers came in September - sign of correction, or fluke? Playing time could be an issue if he struggles again. As a fifth mixed outfielder, Young could return value, but make it a wary investment.


Jeff Francoeur, OF, New York Mets
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Join Mets, hit homers. Wish it were that easy. Detractors point to Jeff Francoeur's terrible batting eye as reason he'll never grow as a hitter. Pro Frenchy thought: too much tinkering. The line drive and contact rates are rising. He needs guidance, like he received from Gary Sheffield and Howard Johnson, not an overhaul. If Mets leave him alone, he may be ... adequate. Streaky, but adequate. Bargain-bin buyers could earn tiny profit. Swing away.


Scott Podsednik, OF, Kansas City Royals
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Need swipes? Scott Podsednik could be a post-draft bench option in deep mixed. His flyballs jumped a bit while his success rate on flyballs jumped. Pods' new park should suppress his already meager home run potential, and his biggest red flag, his BABIP, should return him to something around a .270 average, at best.


Delmon Young, OF, Minnesota Twins
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
21519567260.260.300.405.705

Officially post-hype,Delmon Young's attitude and in-box balance improved as he hit nine homers after July. He's assured a starting spot, too. You can pay clearance-rack prices to see if he can sustain his flyball jump. Extra patience and steals would help.


Luke Scott, 1B/OF, Baltimore Orioles
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

The consummate streaky waiver wire pickup, Luke Scott found time at first base last year, so he has dual eligibility. Yay. He's a power-and-nothing-else source; on the bright side, he's probably the full-time DH, so he can focus on his dish work. Watch his trade winds.


Drew Stubbs, OF, Cincinnati Reds
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
335478593017.254.323.388.711

'09 MLB stint gave Drew Stubbs a foundation. If he keeps the full-time center field gig, he could produce 40-plus steals, with a potential side of 20 homers. He'll need to improve his dismal batting eye to help in any other way. The risk is worth a late-round commitment in deep mixed; the ballpark could help him contribute outside of his speed.


Milton Bradley, OF, Seattle Mariners
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Those who overpaid last season paid the price. Injuries and a BABIP normalization reminded us of Milton Bradley's risk. His groundball rate has had a severe spike in the last two seasons. Deep mixed drafters shouldn't bother; this isn't Wrigley Field, after all. Let him prove he can hit before considering an in-season pickup. AL drafters should consider him depth.


Cameron Maybin, OF, Florida Marlins
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
261356552316.249.313.368.681

Drastic improvements to batting eye at Triple-A New Orleans offers some hope for Cameron Maybin heading into age-23 campaign. Only stole one bag during his MLB trip; kept focus on hitting, perhaps? Speed is innate and should eventually arrive. Everything else is a work in progress, but he's worth taking a stab at in the late rounds of deep mixed. Pay a little extra in NLs without going overboard.


Rick Ankiel, OF, Kansas City Royals
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Rick Ankiel's ineptitude versus lefties hurts his overall contribution and might cost him playing time. Ankiel's walk and contact rates tanked, too. Though his flyball growth might have been hidden below an abnormally low HR/FB, he's moving to a terrible park for homers. The dingers column is his best bet, and unfortunately that's in jeopardy. AL-only drafters should pay modestly if they need to fill out a five-outfielder lineup.


Kosuke Fukudome, OF, Chicago Cubs
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Kosuke Fukudome's high-level batting eye and decent contact ability make an average bump possible, but lefties still haunt him. A platoon in right field could be in Fukudome's future after the signing of Xavier Nady; that alone makes a mixed-league investment dicey. We may have already seen Fukudome's peak.


Carlos Guillen, OF, Detroit Tigers
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

A two-month absence due to a shoulder injury didn't prevent Carlos Guillen from clubbing nine homers in the final two months. His batting eye remains above-average, but you can't count on batting average anymore. If you back into taking him in deeps, be prepared for moderate numbers across the board.


Melky Cabrera, OF, Atlanta Braves
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
499651449527.289.333.411.744

Melky Cabrera's lofty contact rate may be climbing, but his BB/K and baselines show you that the ceiling remains limited. Nine of his 13 2009 homers came at Yankee Stadium; don't expect double digits again. No reason to draft for continued improvement or even maintenance of 2009 levels, but market might ask for it.


Ryan Sweeney, OF, Oakland Athletics
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
31334836281.265.328.412.740

His light stick doesn't look like it'll do much more than help you stay afloat in batting average. Increases in contact, groundball and line-drive rate support his high BABIPs. Ryan Sweeney will start the season in the lineup, but he might not be there midseason (read: Michael Taylor); that makes Sweeney an AL-only playing time eater and little else.


Randy Winn, OF, San Francisco Giants
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San Francisco Giants outfielder Randy Winn has had a great month of May. The 32-year-old veteran put together a 20-game hitting streak while hitting .347 with two home runs and nine RBI for the month. Fantasy owners shouldn't and haven't been quick to add the veteran of nine seasons, however. His recent success has received the attention of fantasy owners, but not many have seemed willing to pull the trigger by adding him to their roster. Fantasy owners have reason to be skeptical.

Background

After a 2005 trade brought over Winn from the Seattle Mariners for backup catcher Yorvit Torrealba and minor league pitcher Jesse Foppert, he made Giants fans everywhere take notice. The newly acquired Winn hit .359 with 14 home runs and 26 RBI in just 58 games with the Giants.

That performance led to the Giants reaching an agreement with Winn on a three-year, $23.3 million contract extension through the 2009 season; with the team's full intention on plugging him into the leadoff spot.

Current Situation

Winn began this season batting eighth, having been demoted from the leadoff role after the Giants acquired outfielder Dave Roberts in the offseason. Roberts also took over center field, forcing Winn to right field. Roberts was acquired in part because of the performance Winn had in 2006. After signing the big contract extension, Winn hit a mere .262 with just 11 home runs in 149 games. That performance left Giants fans asking if this was the same player that almost single-handedly brought them to contend for the National League Wild Card a season earlier.

His start to the 2007 season, along with Roberts' injury and the struggles of shortstop Omar Vizquel at the plate, has Winn back atop the Giants' order. Winn is a switch-hitter who has been eating up left-handed pitching, batting .423 with two home runs. The road has also been friendly to Winn this season; he's batting .395 with three home runs away from home.

Fantasy Outlook

Though Winn has had a great month, he is still available in 95 percent of fantasy leagues polled; that has to say something. The power needs to be there for Winn to be a successful addition to any fantasy lineup, because he doesn't steal bases very frequently. He showed that he could provide power after the 2005 trade to the Giants, but three home runs after two months this season isn't going to cut it.

It is obvious people aren't jumping on the Winn bandwagon, and it is deserved. Once Roberts returns from the disabled list in two weeks or so, it is safe to assume Roberts will regain his leadoff spot. If Winn can be consistent, we would definitely recommend adding him. He can come in and fill an injury void, or if monitored closely, be played exclusively on the road against lefties. Winn doesn't have a lot offer beyond average, but fantasy owners can definitely ride his hot streak.


Eric Byrnes, OF, Seattle Mariners
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Crowded outfield and DH picture in front of Eric Byrnes, but injuries and age issues - both young and old - might open time for vet who boasts some pop and some speed. If hamstrings remain intact, decent playing time could help him build on his increasing flyball rate. Wise AL-only pluckers might back into a useful fifth outfielder.


Will Venable, OF, San Diego Padres
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
51473129185822.251.304.440.744

Will Venable needs more exposure to left-handers, which give him trouble. Showed positive signs last season (AB/HR), but much of that came during a hot streak. Poor batting eye tempers hope for growth in strike-zone control for the near future. Keep tabs in deep mixed; he's an OK stab as a No. 5 NL outfielder.


Michael Brantley, OF, Cleveland Indians
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Speed first, wait on everything else. Elite farm batting eye might ease transition. Take a late flier on Michael Brantley's swipes in mixed; that'll make him a tad more expensive in ALs, but the extra dollar will probably be worth it if he's your No. 5 outfielder.


Chris Dickerson, OF, Cincinnati Reds
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Chris Dickerson's opportunities to run haven't differed much from minors to majors, but he has run significantly less often in bigs. Past performance doesn't support continual improvement in OBP, and 2009 BA seems luck-driven, but more contact and line drives. Modest steals upside tied to it for NL bidders, who may be reluctant to go double digits, understandably, given ABs uncertainty.


Felix Pie, OF, Baltimore Orioles
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Felix Pie is involved in a battle for left field time with Nolan Reimold, the more highly regarded long-term option. Pie is a better bet to start out as the No. 4 outfielder; though he probably won't get much better, don't ignore the strides he made in line drives and contact. He didn't run much, which hurts his stock.


Scott Hairston, OF, San Diego Padres
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
14620337233.226.268.438.706

Normally a platoon-split commodity, the righty-hitting Scott Hairston clubbed most of his homers against his handedness. The BA divergence will keep him as a complement to Tony Gwynn Jr., but if the unstable Gwynn becomes replaceable, the Pads have seen what Hairston can do. A handy part-timer for NL drafters.


Austin Jackson, OF, Detroit Tigers
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
55984159147017.284.351.440.791

A Curtis Granderson clone with some power yet to develop, Austin Jackson will have every opportunity to win the starting center-field gig this spring. His batting eye says he may need some more farm polishing, but the basepath speed acumen has arrived. That'll be your best bet if you take a shot.


Tony Gwynn Jr., OF, San Diego Padres
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
192214601310.240.281.302.583

Tony Gwynn Jr., expected to platoon with Scott Hairston, has seen his steals growth affixed to an increase in playing time - a great sign for NL-only outfield seekers. That's his most certain contribution, so plan accordingly if you need to use him.


Nate Schierholtz, OF, San Francisco Giants
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
4755212217666.257.309.442.751

Quad-A staple should receive chance to start in right. Adjusted swing in winter ball. Nate Schierholtz's flyball jump in limited time forecasts promising growth, but Schierholtz will need to improve his contact and line-drive rates to counteract his poor batting eye. Prime NL speculative pick that could have rental value during mixed-league season.


Gerardo Parra, OF, Arizona Diamondbacks
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
4976713784011.276.331.408.739

Walk-to-strikeout ratio isn't encouraging, but Gerardo Parra's high average on balls in play was norm in minors. Homers were a fluke. Unexciting mixed league pickup given mild upside for steals. NL players have interest because of modest potential for playing time and, maybe, average, but don't feel like you're missing out.


Ken Griffey Jr., DH, Seattle Mariners
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Ken Griffey Jr. had bone spur removed from his left knee. As if you needed more reason to be concerned about him. On his farewell tour, he can't be counted on for full-time duty, even as DH. Probably won't face all lefties. If he's on your AL bench, that's OK, as long as you plan for the lack of positional eligibility.


Xavier Nady, OF, Chicago Cubs
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Xavier Nady's second career Tommy John surgery interrupted positive year-to-year trends. Injury negatively affects slugging percentage, most notably. Nady will platoon in right, but some potential for increased playing time. He's a risky investment if others view him as buying opportunity. Some upside here, but it requires patience and doesn't warrant much, if any, overspending.


Matt Joyce, OF, Tampa Bay Rays
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
396549717606.245.340.437.777

Matt Joyce stalled last year, but the big lefty bat has power potential, and Tampa will probably test it out by having him lead their right-field platoon. Gabe Kapler draws the short straw but may be a factor. Joyce is a gamble for homers in the final rounds of deeps.


Andruw Jones, OF, Chicago White Sox
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

The White Sox hope Andruw Jones can recapture life in part-time duty as a DH in another favorable ambience. Jones' aerial spike signals something similar to '09. He shouldn't be drafted in mixed leagues but could round out an AL squad.


Jeremy Hermida, OF, Boston Red Sox
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

The formerly hyped bat is one of the better No. 4 outfielders to stash in deep leagues. J.D. Drew is hurt often, and who knows what they'll get from DH David Ortiz? Jeremy Hermida improved his patience last year and still hits the ball hard - not many flyballs or steals, though. Hermida's baseline has changed, but he can still exceed it - moderately, most likely - with proper PT; he'll be 26 when the season starts.


Desmond Jennings, OF, Tampa Bay Rays
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
55786145165629.260.340.424.764

A potential Matt Joyce-Gabe Kapler platoon stands in his way, but Desmond Jennings will have a shot to win a starting job this spring. Jennings' average should translate well, but his most MLB-ready commodity is his stolen base ability. Focus on the rooks that can specialize in one roto category; he's a tuck-away commodity in deep leagues and warrants a reach for stash-friendly AL leagues.


Gabe Kapler, OF, Tampa Bay Rays
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

We may see Gabe Kapler build on his late-blooming homer potential - flyballs and liners up, grounders down, for what it's worth in his limited skill set. Expect a platoon with Matt Joyce, at least to start; Kapler, 34, can't hit righties. AL-only drafters can't sleep on Kaps, but remember Desmond Jennings could throw a wrench into this.