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Fantasy baseball player profiles: Boston Red Sox

Fantasy baseball player profiles: Boston Red Sox

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1 Victor Martinez, C, Boston Red Sox
2 Jason Varitek, C, Boston Red Sox
3 Kevin Youkilis, 1B/3B, Boston Red Sox
4 Dustin Pedroia, 2B, Boston Red Sox
5 Adrian Beltre, 3B, Boston Red Sox
6 Marco Scutaro, SS, Boston Red Sox
7 J.D. Drew, OF, Boston Red Sox
8 Mike Cameron, OF, Boston Red Sox
9 Jacoby Ellsbury, OF, Boston Red Sox
10 Jeremy Hermida, OF, Boston Red Sox
11 David Ortiz, DH, Boston Red Sox
12 Clay Buchholz, SP, Boston Red Sox
13 Daisuke Matsuzaka, SP, Boston Red Sox
14 Jon Lester, SP, Boston Red Sox
15 Tim Wakefield, SP, Boston Red Sox
16 John Lackey, SP, Boston Red Sox
17 Josh Beckett, SP, Boston Red Sox
18 Jonathan Papelbon, RP, Boston Red Sox
19 Daniel Bard, RP, Boston Red Sox

Victor Martinez, C, Boston Red Sox
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5886818313830.311.363.446.809

That elbow - and power - looked healthy. Victor Martinez posted a career-best BB/K and continued his hard contact. Potential issue: He'll probably spend the entire year behind the plate, especially now that the BoSox have brought Adrian Beltre aboard. Don't let this downgrade your valuation much, but it may contribute to a downward turn.


Jason Varitek, C, Boston Red Sox
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

The Captain will be more like Tennille with Victor Martinez in town. Jason Varitek still boasts double-digit pop with enough PT, and he actually improved his batting eye last year. On the other hand, his contact isn't as effective anymore; his lofts aren't translating to dingers.


Kevin Youkilis, 1B/3B, Boston Red Sox
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Despite a swelling K presence, Kevin Youkilis maintained his '08 breakout while going back to his original walks mantra. His BABIP has gone up in each of the last two years, though; he isn't short on hard contact. That climbing OPS wasn't affected much by his back-injury-spawned power drop in the second half. He's a top-30 mixed player. His dual eligibility is worth reaching for.


Dustin Pedroia, 2B, Boston Red Sox
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
59884178126917.298.366.431.797

Dustin Pedroia's batting eye was topped only by Albert Pujols. However, Pedroia's brief move to leadoff coincided with a big skid, and his average faltered even as his walk and contact rates increased. Even if he sustains his flyball climb, you should expect recoveries in his BABIP and clip.


Adrian Beltre, 3B, Boston Red Sox
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5838518230971.312.357.521.878

Adrian Beltre's steady flyball drop continued thanks in part to shoulder surgery and a testicle injury. Injuries are starting to pile up, but not to the extent that you should forget completely about his 25-homer potential. That big wall in left field should make some more flyballs productive. He pulls a lot.


Marco Scutaro, SS, Boston Red Sox
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
434611244343.286.340.376.716

A longtime reliable vet, Marco Scutaro led qualified major leaguers in contact rate last season (a career-best 93.3 percent). That figure has been in the 90s since 2004. He posted his best walk rate ever, also (13.6 percent), as he displayed unusual patience. Even with the fluky numbers, he's now in an elite offense and could be batting near the top. He's a useful middle infielder in deep mixed. Scutaro is a value for AL-only drafters as a starting shorty.


J.D. Drew, OF, Boston Red Sox
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Known as the Energizer Bunny in Philly, this 34-year-old is starting to regain some juice. This highly skilled vet has a chronic injury bug, but J.D. Drew also has chronic talent; the only time he reached 500 at-bats was in 2004. Drew's contact rate hasn't fluctuated much, and his batting eye hasn't dipped below 0.75 since 2002. He'll be a cheap investment, too, as long as you consider him a bonus.


Mike Cameron, OF, Boston Red Sox
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Well, at least you know what you're getting: 20 homers, a ton of strikeouts, some (declining) stolen base production and a hurtful batting average. Too bad UZR doesn't count toward roto leagues. Hopefully Mike Cameron will attempt more swipes than last year in this aggressively footed team, and one would think a pull hitter could succeed at Fenway Park.


Jacoby Ellsbury, OF, Boston Red Sox
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
53788151156240.281.338.432.770

Well, Jacoby Ellsbury ran more; and more efficiently, adding to his already scary prowess. Ellsbury also proved he can take a walk. He's hitting more flyballs but isn't sacrificing much contact. If you're going to pay for his top-level speed and runs, don't forget about power sources.


Jeremy Hermida, OF, Boston Red Sox
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

The formerly hyped bat is one of the better No. 4 outfielders to stash in deep leagues. J.D. Drew is hurt often, and who knows what they'll get from DH David Ortiz? Jeremy Hermida improved his patience last year and still hits the ball hard - not many flyballs or steals, though. Hermida's baseline has changed, but he can still exceed it - moderately, most likely - with proper PT; he'll be 26 when the season starts.


David Ortiz, DH, Boston Red Sox
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5038015229881.302.384.551.935

David Ortiz's bad press and poor start were swept under the rug with a better second half (.258-16-52). That shouldn't hide the holes in his swing that reared their ugly heads one year after wrist surgery. His bat speed and HR/FB are dwindling, and he lost his first base eligibility. He'll still have some semblance of power, though, so if you can deal with the inflexibility he provides, he could be an OK power value if he falls.


Clay Buchholz, SP, Boston Red Sox
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

WSVIPHERBBKERAWHIP
11016014662581243.491.28

Clay Buchholz rebounded from a disastrous '08 stint with tweaks in his mechanics and approach, some aided by Josh Beckett, which helped produce a sparkling September. His dominance dropped, but in the process he let his grounders do more talking; Adrian Beltre's arrival at the 5 will help even more. The 25-year-old can easily regain the strikeouts.


Daisuke Matsuzaka, SP, Boston Red Sox
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

WSVIPHERBBKERAWHIP
2045442520385.001.42

Coming clean about his injury and Daisuke Matsuzaka's renewed work ethic should help. Dice-K's talent is being ignored. He has been fortunate because he puts runners on base, but their in-progress work on easing his throwing-arm stress means he'll be more mechanically sound. A bargain-basement flier that must be taken.


Jon Lester, SP, Boston Red Sox
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

WSVIPHERBBKERAWHIP
14020520085651713.731.29

The dominance blossoming last year isn't unjustified; already a top-flight groundball artist, Jon Lester ditched his ineffective slider for more of his curveball and changeup. He's a bargain fantasy ace.


Tim Wakefield, SP, Boston Red Sox
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

WSVIPHERBBKERAWHIP
00000000.000.00

Tim Wakefield will be a nice security blanket even if the Sox shove him out of the rotation for younger talent. You don't need to draft him anywhere; you can rent the 43-year-old if he proves he can give a nice stretch. However, any semblance of dominance is disappearing, and he's coming off of back surgery.


John Lackey, SP, Boston Red Sox
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

WSVIPHERBBKERAWHIP
11017518176431423.911.28

As long as John Lackey isn't your No. 1, don't be afraid to draft him. However, his K rate is dropping. Two elbow injuries since 2007 have aided this. Optimism rests in his improved heat last year, but his strike-zone work is becoming more hittable.


Josh Beckett, SP, Boston Red Sox
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

WSVIPHERBBKERAWHIP
601011034629834.101.31

Josh Beckett topped 200 frames for the third time in four years, making his disastrous '08 look ancient. His groundball rate soared back up last year as he quelled aerial attacks. Continuing this trend will be further aided by new hot corner man Adrian Beltre and shorty Marco Scutaro. Dominance of 8.00-plus keeps him at elite levels and makes him a bargain fantasy ace.


Jonathan Papelbon, RP, Boston Red Sox
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

WSVIPHERBBKERAWHIP
43465622314633.181.17

Jonathan Papelbon's GB/FB has heavily fluctuated (on the wrong side last year), and his opponents are lining his offerings more. Does his re-incorporated slider actually help? Is all the talk of a trade that far-fetched? This all should only be in the back of your mind. Paps still dominated. His high strand rate looks like it's the norm. He should remain one of the top stoppers taken.


Daniel Bard, RP, Boston Red Sox
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

WSVIPHERBBKERAWHIP
00000000.000.00

Hints of rumors that Boston will trade Jonathan Papelbon give Daniel Bard's roto stock more life. The dominant Bard made a rapidly effective jump to the bigs. He'll be one of the top speculative saves picks and can help even if he isn't shutting the door.