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Fantasy baseball player profiles: Philadelphia Phillies

Fantasy baseball player profiles: Philadelphia Phillies

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1 Carlos Ruiz, C, Philadelphia Phillies
2 Brian Schneider, C, Philadelphia Phillies
3 Ryan Howard, 1B, Philadelphia Phillies
4 Ross Gload, 1B/OF, Philadelphia Phillies
5 Chase Utley, 2B, Philadelphia Phillies
6 Placido Polanco, 2B/3B, Philadelphia Phillies
7 Greg Dobbs, 3B, Philadelphia Phillies
8 Jimmy Rollins, SS, Philadelphia Phillies
9 Juan Castro, IF, Philadelphia Phillies
10 Raul Ibanez, OF, Philadelphia Phillies
11 Shane Victorino, OF, Philadelphia Phillies
12 Jayson Werth, OF, Philadelphia Phillies
13 Roy Halladay, SP, Philadelphia Phillies
14 Cole Hamels, SP, Philadelphia Phillies
15 J.A. Happ, SP, Philadelphia Phillies
16 Joe Blanton, SP, Philadelphia Phillies
17 Brad Lidge, RP, Philadelphia Phillies
18 Ryan Madson, RP, Philadelphia Phillies

Carlos Ruiz, C, Philadelphia Phillies
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
3764610410562.277.339.426.765

Carlos Ruiz has made dramatic improvement for two straight seasons, particularly in walk-to-strikeout ratio. Maturation is encouraging for potential breakout, but two straight slow starts temper expectations. Increasing flyball rate and home run-per-flyball rate say if it comes, it could be considerable.


Brian Schneider, C, Philadelphia Phillies
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Injuries and misfortune served as themes for New York Mets and Brian Schneider in 2009. A definitive backup in Philly, he doesn't offer much reason to speculate. However, his surroundings have improved, and his batting average should bounce back. There are worse reserves, for sure.


Ryan Howard, 1B, Philadelphia Phillies
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
4775111625750.243.305.465.770

Another drop in K rate and return to previously established standard for average on balls in play helped Ryan Howard's average. Not as encouraging are the slowly eroding walk rate and power factor. Still a relatively safe buy, but ridiculous home run and RBI totals are best-case scenario, not the norm.


Ross Gload, 1B/OF, Philadelphia Phillies
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Ross Gload is moving to the right park after a flyball percentage spike, but a high rate hasn't been the norm. Plus, slowly declining contact rate and even less projected playing time offer plenty of reason to ignore him unless multiple injuries occur.


Chase Utley, 2B, Philadelphia Phillies
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
50078137197511.274.347.458.805

Not unsurprisingly, Chase Utley's power appears to be in slow decline. Above all, contact remains steady. Hip was a problem in 2008, so was there anything to 2009 injury whispers? Postseason says no, but concerns can remain thanks to his all-out style. Still, tougher to find a surer bet, and at this position?


Placido Polanco, 2B/3B, Philadelphia Phillies
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Placido Polanco's flyball rate and batting eye ratio are moving in opposite directions, but contact remains steady. Polanco may be sacrificing steady average for a barely noticeable increase in power - not exactly the reason the Phillies signed him. Eligibility and locale will be his major draws.


Greg Dobbs, 3B, Philadelphia Phillies
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
12411312121.250.307.347.654

Greg Dobbs hits liners but also plenty of flies. A little bounce-back in luck will make the average respectable again, but it won't approach 2008 level. Minor plus: Placido Polanco is a bit more of an injury risk at the hot corner.


Jimmy Rollins, SS, Philadelphia Phillies
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
53671133103819.248.315.371.686

Was a terrible hit percentage in the first half the only thing to blame? Obvious: Jimmy Rollins is in overall decline, but he's not as bad as his final 2009 line says. Not so obvious: He probably isn't much better. Expect a rebound in stolen bases with increased opportunities, assuming he remains at leadoff.


Juan Castro, IF, Philadelphia Phillies
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Have decent glove, will travel, won't hit much. Juan Castro's 2009 average was a fluke. See his high line-drive rate from small sample and abnormal BABIP.


Raul Ibanez, OF, Philadelphia Phillies
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
392459118560.232.300.431.731

Raul Ibanez's power boost was even greater than expected after the move from the Seattle Mariners. Reality: first-half 2009 was about as magical a run as possible. He had offseason shports hernia surgery, and age is catching up. No question: He wasn't the same after returning from the DL. But how much of that contributed to fall-offs in line-drive rate and contact rate?


Shane Victorino, OF, Philadelphia Phillies
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
52284146135522.280.343.437.780

Rising batting eye, line-drive rate and high contact rate show Shane Victorino's BA growth in the last two years is likely to stay. You can live with low-teens homers, as long as he gives you the elusive 100-run performance and approaches 30 swipes. Does enough elsewhere to make him worth grabbing in the mixed top 50 if speed is a priority.


Jayson Werth, OF, Philadelphia Phillies
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
49686139218211.280.366.470.836

Broke out in first year of full-time work. Ton of strikeouts but walks often to sustain Jayson Werth's midrange batting eye and line up stolen base attempts. His flyball rate is at slight risk of coming down, but that may be an establishment of his skills. 30-homer, 20-steal capability puts him in top-30 discussion and is a relatively safe commodity as long as you balance him with a batting average specialist.


Roy Halladay, SP, Philadelphia Phillies
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

WSVIPHERBBKERAWHIP
00000000.000.00

Increased run support and a switch to the NL East add to elite skills. Innings eater's K rate has risen the last two years. Small flyball rise in '09 gives pause at Roy Halladay's new park, but he keeps the ball down. Top-three mixed starter generally resides within the top 25 picks; might be worth it if you can back up your offense quickly.


Cole Hamels, SP, Philadelphia Phillies
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

WSVIPHERBBKERAWHIP
10016414561411553.351.13

He had one truly poor month of control, but early trouble with homers plagued him. Cole Hamels is tinkering with his arsenal to add more deception in his patterns. He doesn't throw hard enough to forecast 2006-level dominance, but it's hard not to think the command-friendly lefty can lower opponents' BABIP. A No. 2 mixed starter that could perform as a No. 1 and is worth a slight reach.


J.A. Happ, SP, Philadelphia Phillies
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

WSVIPHERBBKERAWHIP
5090854543774.501.42

J.A. Happ's rookie season value fueled by 12 wins. Warnings come in deflated BABIP and inflated strand rate. See last September for crash back to earth. Dominance dropped in starting role, which forebodes bad things for the soft tosser if luck doesn't hold up. Team still gives him midrange NL-only value, but shaky skills shouldn't be banked on in mixed.


Joe Blanton, SP, Philadelphia Phillies
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

WSVIPHERBBKERAWHIP
3075894319615.161.44

Joe Blanton added dominance to his innings-eating approach, but his approach dictates his K/9 won't remain high. He saw some BABIP help midseason but continued to display excellent command. Spikes in flyball and HR/FB are worrisome, but he has generally excelled at keeping the ball down. Improvement made in his stretch delivery could sustain strand rate growths. The 29-year-old vet is a decent late-round rotation capper in deep mixed, but don't expect much, if any, upside.


Brad Lidge, RP, Philadelphia Phillies
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

WSVIPHERBBKERAWHIP
00000000.000.00

Recovery from knee surgery will delay Brad Lidge's season debut for a brief period. Knee led to gopheritis and cavernous strand rate in '09. LOB might not fix itself right away; Lidge gets into plenty of jams when healthy and on. Skipper stuck with him, though. With some normalization - both positive and negative - he warrants a tempered bid as a No. 3 mixed closer. Not a safe NL No. 1, but a good gamble with one in tow.


Ryan Madson, RP, Philadelphia Phillies
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

WSVIPHERBBKERAWHIP
203028129303.601.23

Dominance bloomed in '09, when Ryan Madson also proved he could save games frequently. Two-year pattern shows control growth settling in. Vet probably doesn't have much more upside skill-wise, but with Brad Lidge battling knee problems, Madson stands as a top-flight saves speculation commodity.