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Fantasy baseball player profiles: New York Mets

Fantasy baseball player profiles: New York Mets

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Quick Jump: Fantasy Baseball Player Profiles

1 Luis Castillo, 2B, New York Mets
2 Alex Cora, 2B/SS, New York Mets
3 David Wright, 3B, New York Mets
4 Jose Reyes, SS, New York Mets
5 Jeff Francoeur, OF, New York Mets
6 Carlos Beltran, OF, New York Mets
7 Jason Bay, OF, New York Mets
8 John Maine, SP, New York Mets
9 Johan Santana, SP, New York Mets
10 Mike Pelfrey, SP, New York Mets
11 Francisco Rodriguez, RP, New York Mets

Luis Castillo, 2B, New York Mets
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Creaky Luis Castillo walked often again, but whiff rate keeps climbing. Batting eye deteriorated noticeably in second half. Instability in that area isn't uncommon for Castillo, but high line drive rate and hit percentage have to be flukes. Speed slowly eroding, too, but at least Mets are healthy - to start.


Alex Cora, 2B/SS, New York Mets
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Mets dropped liked flies, leaving Alex Cora to hit very few of them. Surge in steals was unexpected, but he appears to be on a late-career upward slope in batting average. That's not saying much. A reserve - only in deep NL pools.


David Wright, 3B, New York Mets
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
55785165229319.296.382.496.878

David Wright's reduction of playing time attributable to a concussion. Power outage? It's not just Citi Field, as evidenced by his road numbers. Wright's flyball rate has been slipping, and his increasingly line-drive ways don't play well in that park. The batting average looks ready to sink below .300 again, too. He's too young for this. Expect a refocusing, but not miracles, and stolen bases may suffer, too.


Jose Reyes, SS, New York Mets
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
56684169145332.299.355.445.800

Four straight seasons with a virtual clean bill of health ... then, 2009. When Jose Reyes is injured, he stays injured. Overactive thyroid clouds picture and means he won't be useful for undetermined period. Reality: This can be controlled and is only discouraging because it affects his availability for conditioning. That emphasizes this: His legs are still bigger issue. Improvements in power peripherals make him dynamic, but value is derived from speed; any ill effect or redux means loss of impact on base paths. Worth the risk when the price is appreciably lower - outside the first four or five mixed rounds - because drafters may overreact to thyroid news. Reyes is just not a foundation pick.


Jeff Francoeur, OF, New York Mets
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Join Mets, hit homers. Wish it were that easy. Detractors point to Jeff Francoeur's terrible batting eye as reason he'll never grow as a hitter. Pro Frenchy thought: too much tinkering. The line drive and contact rates are rising. He needs guidance, like he received from Gary Sheffield and Howard Johnson, not an overhaul. If Mets leave him alone, he may be ... adequate. Streaky, but adequate. Bargain-bin buyers could earn tiny profit. Swing away.


Carlos Beltran, OF, New York Mets
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5167914629872.283.343.508.851

Whatever is going on in Carlos Beltran's right knee, it's not positive. Batting average skills are improving, but last year's hit rate was a big jump. Homer skills are not, with poor timing: Citi Field is for towering drives, not lined shots. Speed on a downward trend, too. Too much talent here, but long-term investment should be at a discount only.


Jason Bay, OF, New York Mets
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Move to Citi Field from Fenway Park gives pause, but given a typical path of a Jason Bay ball in flight and some similar dimensions, it may not matter. Bay was a road homer warrior in 2009. New teammates won't be quite as good and have more question marks, but batting average should rebound a bit, assuming the dip in contact was an anomaly and liner rate continues slow climb.


John Maine, SP, New York Mets
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

WSVIPHERBBKERAWHIP
00000000.000.00

Shoulder problems - "weakness" - this time for John Maine. What would a full season bring? Maine's ability to limit hit damage has not waned during his medical timeline, but his control has suffered. Righty put together an outing reminiscent of 2007 to close out 2009, though. Why not make him your No. 4 or No. 5 NL starter and find out? Good luck setting over/under on IP.


Johan Santana, SP, New York Mets
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

WSVIPHERBBKERAWHIP
1030311710245.101.37

Johan Santana's string of seasons with 200-plus frames made elbow issues no surprise. Level of performance before that was, though. High April, May K/9 and solid control conjured thoughts of old Johan. Velocity loss, total lack of dominance and home run assault woke us up. We can blame bone chips. Surgery cleaned him up. In theory, Santana will need a short adjustment period and be back to old (2007-08) self. Cost is nearly what it'd be if 2009 never happened, though.


Mike Pelfrey, SP, New York Mets
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

WSVIPHERBBKERAWHIP
10018520388621174.281.43

Mike Pelfrey's control ballooned after improvement in second half of 2008. Hitters tortured Pelfrey in 2009, but lost is some improvement in command and an unfortunate hit rate. If groundball rate continues its ascension, infield defense returns to form (well, is healthy) and dominance rises again.... A possible value.


Francisco Rodriguez, RP, New York Mets
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

WSVIPHERBBKERAWHIP
3261522422633.541.21

This kind of fall-off from a 28-year-old reliever? Francisco Rodriguez's continued negative trends, with substantial slides, in K/9 and BB/9. Flyball rate spiked nervously. Rest of Mets' woes was a factor, but let's avoid guilt trip - unless it's for manager Jerry Manuel's poor handling. Moderate rebound is in store, but top-five mixed closer price is no longer warranted. Just, maybe, low-end No. 1.