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Fantasy baseball player profiles: Washington Nationals

Fantasy baseball player profiles: Washington Nationals

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1 Ivan Rodriguez, C, Washington Nationals
2 Jesus Flores, C, Washington Nationals
3 Adam Dunn, 1B/OF, Washington Nationals
4 Adam Kennedy, 2B, Washington Nationals
5 Ryan Zimmerman, 3B, Washington Nationals
6 Cristian Guzman, SS, Washington Nationals
7 Elijah Dukes, OF, free agent
8 Josh Willingham, OF, Washington Nationals
9 Nyjer Morgan, OF, Milwaukee Brewers
10 Chien-Ming Wang, SP, Washington Nationals
11 Jason Marquis, SP, Washington Nationals
12 John Lannan, SP, Washington Nationals
13 Stephen Strasburg, SP, Washington Nationals
14 Drew Storen, RP, Washington Nationals
15 Matt Capps, RP, Washington Nationals

Ivan Rodriguez, C, Washington Nationals
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Nats want Ivan Rodriguez as mentor, but he should receive significant time, especially if Jesus Flores remains sidelined. Batting eye remains terrible despite better two-year developments. Hits ample flyballs, but it won't help him at Nationals Park. He's best left as a desperation No. 2 mixed catcher.


Jesus Flores, C, Washington Nationals
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Jesus Flores showed offensive sparks last year before DL stint and shoulder surgery. Elbow surgery throws wrench into recovery. Flyball and HR/FB rates swelled, giving him speculative value in deep leagues. Keep tabs on health.


Adam Dunn, 1B/OF, Washington Nationals
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5156110832851.210.317.431.748

Power remained top-notch despite unfriendly destination. Homer and flyball rates locked into elite numbers. Improved versus lefties; keeping that up is Adam Dunn's best bet at keeping his lofty BABIP high. Then again, BABIP was high specifically against lefties, so that might be the first to go. You draft Dunn for the 40-homer talent; you won't be burned if you stick with that plan and balance him out accordingly with an average specialist.


Adam Kennedy, 2B, Washington Nationals
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Regaining stolen bases wasn't a huge surprise; Adam Kennedy had done that before. What came out of nowhere was his bloated HR/FB, which shouldn't be expected again from this light stick. Even in meager lineup, Kennedy should contribute double-digit swipes with regular playing time, but nothing else is safe. He's draftable strictly NL-only, but with not much else to offer, there isn't anything but downside.


Ryan Zimmerman, 3B, Washington Nationals
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
5538815827726.286.353.488.841

Flyball increase, healthy season prompted power breakout. Shaky - albeit improving - batting eye mean some drop-off in batting average possible, especially if Ryan Zimmerman turns even more flyball-happy; his K rate bounced back along with his walks. He's a top-30 commodity with room to grow, but also potential for a slight drop-off; consider the power real.


Cristian Guzman, SS, Washington Nationals
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

What you see is what you get. Shaky batting eye offset by high line-drive and contact rates; Cristian Guzman's line drives fell last year, too. Lack of steals doesn't help his blah contributions. He shouldn't be drafted in mixed leagues and is a low-level NL shortstop option; should be avoided unless desperate drafter needs someone to eat at-bats.


Elijah Dukes, OF, free agent
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
000000.000.000.000.000

Elijah Dukes' batting eye declined again, though his increased contact and rebounded flyball rates are good signs. His fluky HR/FB should come back up a bit too. His dedication is what is most in question. A league-only flier who could round out a reserve list and find utility value; add a buck for upside if nothing else is attractive.


Josh Willingham, OF, Washington Nationals
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
4645211024671.237.350.446.796

Josh Willingham's playing time was spotty due to positional logjam and injury, but his frequent home runs will undoubtedly earn him more time this year. His walk rate has also increased in each of the last three seasons. This patient slugger unfortunately doesn't have a batting eye that suggests a clip improvement. Buy him for his late, cheap power.


Nyjer Morgan, OF, Milwaukee Brewers
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

ABRHHRRBISBBAOBPSLGOPS
981526164.265.333.347.680

Before broken hand stopped Nyjer Morgan's season, speedster returned to grounders, helping to preserve his average. Walk rate increase should help preserve it, too. Though grounders back up positive trend, his BABIP was still way too high, and he didn't improve against lefties. Expect his batting average and in-play clip to fall. If you can absorb regression in non-steals categories, he could pass as a No. 5 mixed outfielder.


Chien-Ming Wang, SP, Washington Nationals
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

WSVIPHERBBKERAWHIP
00000000.000.00

Shoulder problems and gopheritis exiled Chien-Ming Wang to the DL for almost all of the season; he might not start the season on time. A move to the National League at least helps him avoid the DH, but the grounder-friendly Wang won't have much help from the Nats in gaining wins, which guided his roto value for years. Mixed leaguers can wait on him; NLs could see what he has to offer in the end-game.


Jason Marquis, SP, Washington Nationals
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

WSVIPHERBBKERAWHIP
00000000.000.00

A pitcher reliant on wins for roto value doesn't help himself by going to Washington. Jason Marquis pitches to contact and rarely strikes out anyone. His groundballs spiked in Colorado last year - this helps someone who pitches to contact, but he moves to a shakier defense. Leave him for the post-draft pool.


John Lannan, SP, Washington Nationals
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

WSVIPHERBBKERAWHIP
4073773326424.071.41

Innings eater lives off groundballs and doesn't offer many strikeouts. Pitchers like this usually need wins to earn more value; the Nats aren't in a position to make up for John Lannan's lack of dominance. He's an in-season rental in deep leagues but shouldn't earn your mixed draft dollars. For desperate NL-only owners, he's worth a buck or two as a non-upside bench arm.


Stephen Strasburg, SP, Washington Nationals
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

WSVIPHERBBKERAWHIP
13018614568601933.291.10

Drafters haven't inflated his value much yet. Upper-90s velocity should shorten his timetable even with him starting the season in the minors. The Nats expressed mild concerns about his delivery this offseason, but they're not going to baby him; he's close to being ready. Strasburg's late-round ADP and value don't shun an extra buck or two on a gamble selection. He's polished, so the biggest worries at that price are how long he'll stay on the farm and the possibility of early rough patches.


Drew Storen, RP, Washington Nationals
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

WSVIPHERBBKERAWHIP
3151461915493.351.20

Many considered closer-type ready for the bigs right after he graduated college. Skill set profiles well for future role, but they probably won't rush him unless it's a dire situation at the back end. Matt Cappswill shut the door to start. If you stash Drew Storen in deep leagues, you'll have dead weight on your roster for awhile; he'll start in the minors. However, deep mixed and NL-only drafters can still stash him for a midseason saves lottery ticket.


Matt Capps, RP, Washington Nationals
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2010 Fantasy Baseball Projections

WSVIPHERBBKERAWHIP
00000000.000.00

First off, that BABIP is absurd. An improvement of that should start off your analysis of Matt Capps, who suffered through elbow injuries early on. He settled down as the season went on, but he has a bigger problem: flyballs. Control-based righty dialed up the velocity and lost his efficiency. Pulling back on the heat might bring him back to normal. Discount opportunity as a No. 3 mixed closer.